Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 270750
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
250 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 245 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

Little change to general forecast trends through the period with
more grey skies than blue.

Short wave trough moving into eastern Kansas early this morning
will reach north central Missouri by late morning and bring an end
to light rain and drizzle currently on radar over southeast
Nebraska. Some decrease in cloud cover is expected during the
afternoon and evening as the system moves off to the east and
short wave ridging moves across the area.

The dry period will be short lived however, as the next system
coming out of the southern Rockies spreads clouds and
precipitation into the western plains on Tuesday and into the
lower Missouri Valley Tuesday night and Wednesday. Widespread
rain will expand over the forecast area Tuesday night and persist
into the later part of the week. Area looks to stay on the cool
side of the system during this time with limited instability
indicated, resulting in a low potential for thunderstorms.

Temperatures are also likely to return to a more limited diurnal
range by Wednesday due to the persistent cloudy and rainy
conditions.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 245 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

Rain chances associated with the central plains storm system will
continue into Thursday before ending Thursday night as the system
moves off to the east. Another brief dry period ensues for Friday
and Friday night as area sits between yet another western storm
system and the departing eastern system. This next western system
will bring a chance of more rain to the area over the weekend
although models show some differences in timing with the GFS a bit
slower and indicating a more cutoff system than the ECMWF
solution.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1140 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

A little light rain or drizzle will affect KLNK and possibly KOMA
overnight as the main storm system tracks across Kansas. MVFR/patchy
IFR cigs will prevail as low level moisture remains in place. May
also see some patchy MVFR vsbys with fog. Forecast soundings are
hinting that as the storm system exits the area in the afternoon
that the clouds will try to scatter out. This may be short-lived
due to the weak flow and heating.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Fobert
LONG TERM...Fobert
AVIATION...Zapotocny



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