Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 261755
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1155 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 930 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

MID MORNING UPDATE TO TWEAK WINDS/LIGHT RAIN/LIGHT SNOW AND
FLURRIES/CLOUDS ALONG WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES. POCKET OF
STRONGER WINDS TO MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND NORTHWEST
WINDS. DID INCLUDE A WINDS ADVISORY FOR A FEW HOURS TODAY WHEN
WINDS WILL BE THE STRONGEST. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER IOWA TO
QUICKLY DROP SOUTH INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI WITH STRONG
WINDS...LIGHT RAIN AND THEN SOME LIGHT SNOW AND FLURRIES TODAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER NORTHWEST IOWA AT 08Z. AREA
OF PRECIP ABOUT READY TO EXIT THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA AS UPPER TROUGH DIGS TOWARD NORTHWEST MISSOURI.
NOT A LOT OF COLD AIR COMING INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THIS SYSTEM WITH MOST STATIONS STILL IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S AT
08Z. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTING A STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING TREND
TO TEMPERATURES TODAY AS GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS SPREAD INTO THE
AREA. A FEW FLURRIES POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING BEFORE CLOUDS
DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH BUILDS SOUTH INTO THE REGION. AREA
THEN DRY BUT COLD WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS COLD AIR
LINGERS BEFORE SHIFTING EAST LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

STRONG WARMING STILL ON TAP FOR FRIDAY AS MORE ZONAL UPPER FLOW
DEVELOPS...BUT COLD FRONT POISED ALONG THE NORTHERN U.S. BORDER
FOR A RETURN TO COLDER CONDITIONS IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 205 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

WARM AIR EXPECTED TO HOLD ON THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE THE NORTHERN
PLAINS COLD FRONT BEGINS TO IMPACT NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT...MOVING SOUTH ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA ON
SUNDAY. 00Z OPERATIONAL MODELS VARY ON SOLUTIONS AFTER THIS TIME FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK SO CONFIDENCE ON THE LOW SIDE IN TRENDS OF MODEL
GUIDANCE AT THIS POINT.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1148 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

LINGERING MVFR CIGS AT ALL SITES THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME
FLURRIES AT KOMA. THERE IS A PATCH OF VFR CONDITIONS MOVING
TOWARD KOFK.  DO INCLUDE IMPROVING CONDITIONS THERE FIRST...THEN
MVFR IMPROVING TO VFR AT KOMA AND KLNK BETWEEN 00Z-04Z. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25KTS SUSTAINED TO DIMINISH TO 10-15KTS BY
00Z AND UNDER 10KTS AFTER 00Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NEZ015-018-
     030>034-042>045-050>053-065>067-078-088-089.

IA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR IAZ043-055.

&&

$$

UPDATE...ZAPOTOCNY
SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY



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