Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 260832
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
332 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(today through Wednesday)
Issued at 241 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

Cool fall-like conditions are expected to continue today as a
1030 mb surface high over the CO/WY border slowly drifts
southeast. Aloft, northwesterly flow remains overhead with a large
500 mb low centered over southern Ontario. This mid-upper low is forecast
to slowly move southeast across the Great Lakes region and into
the Ohio Valley by late Wednesday. This will likely push a cold
front into the region from the east along with a potential
increase in cloud cover. Main forecast change was to lower
Wednesday`s highs to account for the stronger cold air advection.
Otherwise, dry conditions will continue as moisture remains very
limited.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 241 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

Medium range models are in good agreement at the start of the
forecast period as an upper level ridge is progged to build over
the nation`s mid section and persist through late week. By the
weekend, an elongated upper trough will move onto the west coast
while the upper ridge shifts east. Return southerly flow will set up
in the low levels allowing some return of moisture to the area.
Next chance of any precipitation is late in the weekend but even
that looks weak.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS for KOFK...KLNK and KOMA.)
Issued at 1140 PM CDT SUN SEP 25 2016

VFR conditions, with clear skies and unrestricted visibility, are
expected through the TAF cycle. Northwest winds will increase
diurnally at KOFK/KOMA to around 12-14kt with gusts around 20-24kt
from late morning through the afternoon, then diminish around
sunset. At KLNK, winds should remain around 10kt or less
throughout. All sites will go light and variable Monday evening.


&&

.OAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kern
LONG TERM...Kern
AVIATION...Mayes


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