Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 181131
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
631 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 309 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES
GRADUALLY WARMING BACK INTO THE 90S BY SUNDAY. ONE MORE BELOW
NORMAL DAY TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S. HIGHS
WARM BACK TO NORMAL FOR SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S...WITH
HUMIDITY SLOWLY RETURNING WITH PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW.
BELIEVE THERE COULD BE A SMALL CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS MAINLY NORTHEAST
NEBRASKA AS WELL. TEMPS EVENTUALLY REACH THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER
90S BY SUNDAY WITH DEWPOINTS BACK INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 309 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

HEAT AND HUMIDITY REACH A PEAK MONDAY/TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 90S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. THIS WILL
RESULT IN HEAT INDEX VALUES REACHING 100 TO 105 EACH AFTERNOON.
NIGHTTIME LOWS ONLY DOWN IN THE MID 70S DURING THIS TIME. IT DOES
COOL OFF JUST A BIT MORE TOWARDS NORMAL BY THE END OF THE PERIOD
AS A WEAK FRONT SETTLES INTO THE REGION.

REGARDING PRECIP CHANCES...THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE A VERY SUBTLE
SHORT WAVE THAT MOVES INTO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND LINGERS
THROUGH TUESDAY...THUS WILL HAVE SMALL PRECIP CHANCES IN PLACE. A
WEAK FRONT ALSO SETTLES INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT...WHICH COULD
BRING ANOTHER SMALL CHANCE OF STORMS TO THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 624 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

AREA OF DEEPER MOISTURE TO THE SOUTHWEST AND STARTING TO SEE SOME
VSBYS RESTRICTIONS AROUND ALBION AND AURORA. DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS
WILL BE THE TIGHTEST AT KOFK...SO DID MENTION MVFR VSBYS THIS A.M.
FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS. SCT- BKN CLOUDS FL040-060 EXPECTED LATER
THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING SOUTH FLOW AND
HEATING. SOUTH WINDS INCREASE TO 14-18KT SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS 20
TO 25KTS...DECREASING TO 12KTS OR LESS THIS EVENING. THE LOW LEVEL
JET DOES INCREASE AT KOFK TONIGHT...BUT MAY BE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF
THE STRONGEST LOW LEVEL WINDS TO LEAVE OUT FOR NOW.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEWALD
LONG TERM...DEWALD
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY



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