Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 301714
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1114 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

.SHORT TERM...(today through Friday)
Issued at 312 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

WV imagery this morning was showing a deep upper trof over the cntrl
conus along with a tight circulation/sfc reflection centered over
the Upper Midwest. Meanwhile...mosaic 88D was picking up returns
over the Dakotas/Upper Midwest with leading edge of the light snow
slowly approaching the NE/SD border. Snow activity all in part to
potent vort max rounding the backside of the upper level low...in
addition to rather stout 305k upglide per RAP13.

HIRES ARW/NMM as well as HRRR/RAP23 all remain consistent indicating
that accumulating snowfall over the nrn CWA this morning will be
limited as the aforementioned backside vort max/sfc low continues
pushing off to the east. And at this point...still feel amounts
around half an inch or less in the going fcst is still on track.

Otherwise...dry and cold conditions on tap Thursday and Friday
with max temps only in the mid/upper 30s both days.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 312 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

ECM and GFS continue to show no significant weather to be concerned
about until next Saturday night when the next round of pcpn is
possible.

GFS/ECM/CMC in relatively  agreement advertising a Pac NW shortwave
trof moving into the cntrl plains with pcpn developing within the
warm sector just ahead of the wave. Models are also in decent
agreement northward expansion of activity will halt as it approaches
the I-80 corridor with initial pcpn a RA/SN mix before all SN after
midnight.

Otherwise...the GFS and CMC are advertising another big storm system
entering the cntrl plains with the potential for hefty SN
accumulations.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1111 AM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

MVFR conditions are expected to continue at all sites through the
rest of today. Can`t rule out a few flurries at the sites,
especially KOFK and possibly KOMA, but with visibilities likely to
remain at or above 6SM and no accumulation expected, have kept
mention out for now. VFR conditions may return to KLNK around
sunset, but kept MVFR ceilings through the end of the TAF cycle at
KOMA/KOFK. Gusty northwest winds will decrease a bit at sunset and
continuing through Thursday morning.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...Mayes



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