Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 261047
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
547 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(today through Wednesday)
Issued at 241 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

Cool fall-like conditions are expected to continue today as a
1030 mb surface high over the CO/WY border slowly drifts
southeast. Aloft, northwesterly flow remains overhead with a large
500 mb low centered over southern Ontario. This mid-upper low is forecast
to slowly move southeast across the Great Lakes region and into
the Ohio Valley by late Wednesday. This will likely push a cold
front into the region from the east along with a potential
increase in cloud cover. Main forecast change was to lower
Wednesday`s highs to account for the stronger cold air advection.
Otherwise, dry conditions will continue as moisture remains very
limited.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 241 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

Medium range models are in good agreement at the start of the
forecast period as an upper level ridge is progged to build over
the nation`s mid section and persist through late week. By the
weekend, an elongated upper trough will move onto the west coast
while the upper ridge shifts east. Return southerly flow will set up
in the low levels allowing some return of moisture to the area.
Next chance of any precipitation is late in the weekend but even
that looks weak.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS for KOFK...KLNK and KOMA.)
Issued at 546 AM CDT MON SEP 26 2016

VFR conditions through the period. Northwesterly winds at 5 to 7
knots at TAF issuance, which increase to 14 to 22 knots by 16-19z.
Winds diminish to 6 knots or less by 23-00z.

&&

.OAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kern
LONG TERM...Kern
AVIATION...DeWald



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