Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 091140
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
540 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday night)
Issued at 148 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

Above normal temperatures and dry weather will prevail over the
upcoming week.

A large mid/upper trough was impacting much of the eastern Conus
while a mid/upper ridge was situated over California and Nevada
allowing northwest mid/upper flow to prevail across the central
Conus. This pattern will remain in place until late in the week when
a shortwave trough breaks down the ridge and the mid/upper flow
becomes a bit more progressive toward the end of the period.

Trended today-Sunday a bit warmer with some light downslope flow and
dry air allowing large diurnal spreads to develop. Monday`s high
temperature was trended down as a clipper system drives a cold front
south lowering thickness values across the area. Even with some
gusty northerly winds during the afternoon hours, the grassland fire
danger is expected to remain in the very high category.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 148 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

The models remain in reasonable agreement through the extended
periods with a northwest mid/upper flow regime persisting across
the central Conus. This is a dry pattern for the central Conus
with above normal temperatures although a frontal passage late Wed
into early Thu may usher in cooler air and breezy conditions
possibly elevating the grassland fire danger briefly as we remain
quite dry across the region.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 540 AM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

Overall excellent weather until further notice as a deep, dry W-NW
regime continues to dominate. NW winds will once again increase to
~17kts sustained 15-17Z but would diminish to ~7kts 21-22Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    52  27  62  31 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      52  27  64  30 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          50  25  60  32 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        50  24  60  31 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   53  25  62  30 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         54  27  67  31 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      55  27  67  30 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          50  28  63  32 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       51  25  62  30 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     50  24  60  31 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         46  25  58  31 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            46  24  57  31 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    48  24  59  30 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...EPS



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