Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 250209

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
709 PM MST Sat Feb 24 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday Night)
Issued at 157 PM MST Sat Feb 24 2018

High pressure sets up over the tri-state area today, following
this morning`s system. Clear skies are expected the rest of today
with max temperatures in the mid to upper 40s. Temperatures are
expected to continue to build up over the area and by Tuesday we
should see daily max temperatures in the 50s and min temps in the

On Monday, as temperatures and winds increase, fire weather
criteria is forecast to be met across the plains due to the
combination of dry fuels, low relative humidity values in the
teens, and gusty south winds up to 35 mph. Looking at these
combination of factors warranted enough to issue a Fire Weather
Watch for the Monday morning to evening timeframe.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 1205 PM MST Sat Feb 24 2018

Tuesday...lots of sunshine Tuesday under southwest flow aloft.
Should see high temperatures ranging from the mid 40s across the
north to near 60 across the far south. Mid and upper clouds slowly
increase across the northwest portion of the area during the night
ahead of an approaching upper trough.

Wednesday...upper trough is forecast to move across the area during
the day bringing an increase in cloudiness and slight chance for
some light precipitation. Dry weather returns for the overnight
hours. High temperatures should reach the low 40s north to near 50
south. Low temperatures generally in the upper teens/around 20 west
to low/mid 20s east.

Thursday...high clouds move in from west and southwest ahead of
generally troughiness over the west. Little change in temperatures
expected with highs in the mid 40s to around 50. Low temperatures in
the low to mid 20s.

Friday-Saturday...dry weather expected under southwest flow aloft
with only some high clouds possible. High temperatures both days
should reach the mid/upper 50s north to mid 60s south. Low
temperatures Friday night in the mid 20s to low 30s.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 630 PM MST Sat Feb 24 2018

VFR conditions will prevail throug the TAF period. W/NW winds at
10-15 knots may occasionally gust to 20-25 knots (primarily at
MCK) through 06Z. Otherwise, expect winds to back to the WSW/W and
increase to 20-25 knots by noon and persist through the remainder
of the 00Z TAF period.


Issued at 157 PM MST Sat Feb 24 2018

Winds and temperatures are forecast to increase on Monday meeting
critical fire conditions across the plains due to a combination
of dry fuels, low relative humidity values, and gusty south winds.
Any outdoor burning is discouraged.


KS...Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday afternoon
     for KSZ004-015-016-027>029-041-042.

CO...Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday afternoon
     for COZ253-254.



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