Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 240921

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
221 AM MST Fri Feb 24 2017

Issued at 729 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

Just completed an update. Snowfall activity decreasing this
evening as depicted. However, some additional snow is moving
through the southern portion of our area where no chance was in
the grids. So updated to add a low chance through the evening
hours. Everything else appears to be on track at this time.


.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 208 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

Upper level system will move out of the northern Rockies today and
across the central plains on Friday, providing synoptic scale
support for light precipitation. Accompanying surface low will
move across southwest Kansas today and be near Kansas City by
06z. Brisk north winds will advect colder temperatures into the
area, allowing any mixed or liquid precipitation early this
evening to change to all snow by 06z tonight, continuing through
Friday morning before gradually tapering off Friday afternoon. An
inch or two will be possible in southwest Nebraska, with the
remainder of the area expected to see less than an inch. Lows
tonight will drop into the teens and 20s and highs on Friday will
struggle to break the freezing mark. Wind chills will be in the
single digits and teens tonight and through the day Friday.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 220 AM MST Fri Feb 24 2017

The extended period will be mostly dry with the exception of
Tuesday... where the extreme southeastern portion of our forecast
area may see a slight chance of precipitation. This is due to a
possible system developing over the Texas panhandle and moving
northeast over the eastern High Plains.

Temperatures will hold steady through Thursday with highs reaching
the middle 40s to middle 50s and the overnight lows dropping into
the middle teens to the middle 20s. Friday... the highs look to
reach the lower 60s.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1035 PM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

For Kgld...north winds near 19 knots with gusts in the 27 to 30
knot range are expected until 23z. Mvfr conditions are expected
until 19z when conditions will become vfr. Vfr conditions will
then continue through the end of the period. At 23z the gusts will
end and the light north winds will become light and variable.

For Kmck...vfr conditions are expected until 09z when conditions
become mvfr. Then from 13z until 19z will be ifr with occasional
mvfr conditions expected. Then prevailing mvfr conditions will
occur from 19z until 22z when vfr conditions return. Vfr
conditions are expected through the rest of the period. North
winds of 16 to 20 knots with gusts to near 30 knots are expected
until 23z. At that time the winds will decrease dramatically and
then become light and variable.




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