Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 291914
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
114 PM MDT FRI APR 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 102 PM MDT FRI APR 29 2016

UPPER SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO WILL LIFT NORTHEAST AND CUT
OFF A CLOSED LOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE PRECIPITATION WILL
CONTINUE...GRADUALLY LIFTING NORTH DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. MAIN
FORECAST PROBLEM WILL BE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT SNOW IN NORTHEAST
COLORADO AND HOW FAR EAST TO BRING THE RAIN/SNOW LINE TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY. AT 19Z...RAIN WAS CHANGING TO SNOW ALONG AND WEST OF
HIGHWAY 59 IN NORTHEAST COLORADO. IT HAS BEEN VERY SLOWLY CREEPING
EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY AND AS TEMPERATURES COOL TONIGHT EXPECT
THAT TREND TO CONTINUE. RAIN/SNOW MIX COULD GET AS FAR EAST AS
HIGHWAY 25 BY SATURDAY MORNING BUT MORE LIKELY NO FURTHER EAST
THAN HIGHWAY 27. MEASURABLE SNOW WILL BE LIMITED MAINLY TO GRASSY
AND ELEVATED SURFACES WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE BUT CONSIDERABLE
MELTING WILL OCCUR. ROADS ARE MOSTLY ABOVE FREEZING AND EXPECT
THEM TO BE WET WITH POSSIBLE SLUSHY SPOTS. NORTHEAST WINDS TODAY
WILL BECOME NORTH THEN NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS THE
SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THEY WILL CONTINUE TO
BE ON THE BREEZY SIDE WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH WITH A DECENT
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL NOT HAVE MUCH OF A DIURNAL RANGE WITH LOWS
TONIGHT RANGING FROM THE LOWER 30S IN COLORADO TO AROUND 40 IN
NORTON AND HILL CITY...THEN HIGHS ON SATURDAY FROM THE UPPER 30S
IN NORTHEAST COLORADO TO UPPER 40S IN NORTON AND HILL CITY.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 215 AM MDT FRI APR 29 2016

THE LONG TERM BEGINS WITH A WEAK LOBE OF LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL
APPROACH THE CWA ON MONDAY. SLIGHT CHC TO CHC POPS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE LOW AS IT MOVES FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO FILL INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATE
TUESDAY AS THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXITS OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST. THIS
RIDGE WILL BUILD IN AND BECOME QUITE AMPLIFIED AS WE HEAD INTO THE
MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK. DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE END
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND AS THE
RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION. LOOK FOR HIGHS TO REACH THE 60S BY
TUESDAY AND INTO THE 70S BY MID WEEK WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1111 AM MDT FRI APR 29 2016

SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND
CUT OFF OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND RAIN
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD. THERE ARE
OCCASIONAL BREAKS ON RADAR IN THE PRECIPITATION...BUT CEILINGS
WILL REMAIN PRIMARILY IFR WITH SOME LIFR CIGS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT
AND INTO SATURDAY MORNING. SURFACE WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM NORTHEAST
TO NORTHWEST TONIGHT BEHIND A COLD FRONT AND REMAIN BREEZY.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...024


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