Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 281725
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1125 AM MDT FRI AUG 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 315 AM MDT FRI AUG 28 2015

THE FORECAST AREA WILL SEE LITTLE IF ANY CLOUDINESS THROUGH SATURDAY
AS DRY AIR COVERS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. A FEW
CLOUDS MAY MOVE INTO FAR EASTERN COLORADO FROM THE SOUTH SATURDAY
NIGHT AROUND A SFC HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE ALONG THE FRONT RANGE. FOR SUNDAY THE NARROW AXIS OF 850-
700MB MOISTURE SLOWLY SHIFTS EAST TOWARD THE CO/KS BORDER. THERE IS
A BIT OF INSTABILITY BUT NOTHING FOR FORCING SO NO PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED.

HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN THE
MID/UPPER 80S TO LOW/MID 90S. FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON A FEW DEGREES
WARMER WITH 90 TO 95. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT IN THE LOW/MID 50S TO AROUND 60/LOW 60S.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 AM MDT FRI AUG 28 2015

H5 RIDGE SITUATED EAST TO SLIGHTLY SOUTHEAST OF THE CWA ON MONDAY
WILL MOVE EAST AND NORTHEASTWARD AND SETTLE OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY ON TUESDAY. SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL SET UP AND BRING IN MODERATE
AMOUNTS OF PACIFIC MOISTURE FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
INSTABILITY IS RELATIVELY LOW AND POPS REFLECT THIS ACCORDINGLY AS I
AM NOT CONFIDENT IN ANYTHING HIGHER THAN 20 TO 30 PERCENT ALONG A
WEAK THETA E BOUNDARY THAT WILL SET UP OVER THE WESTERN AND
NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE ABLE TO
DEVELOP WILL DO SO DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS NOT LIKELY. THERE IS A MARGINAL
AMOUNT OF SHEAR ALONG THIS BOUNDARY HOWEVER OTHER INSTABILITY
INDICES ARE NONEXISTENT OR EXTREMELY WEAK THUS MAKING SEVERE STORMS
UNLIKELY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL AS THE RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO INFLUENCE THE REGION. AFTERNOON HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 90S AND NIGHTTIME LOWS IN THE MID 60S ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1121 AM MDT FRI AUG 28 2015

VFR CONDITIONS FORECAST FOR THE 18Z TAFS. BREEZY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...THEN QUICKLY DECLINE DURING THE
EARLY EVENING AND BECOME LIGHT DURING THE NIGHT. SATURDAY MORNING WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS A SURFACE RIDGE MOVES
THROUGH.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...JTL



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