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000
FXUS63 KGLD 282337
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
437 PM MST THU NOV 28 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1135 AM MST THU NOV 28 2013

THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL BE AT A CONFLUENCE OF THE NORTHERN
AND SOUTHERN JET STREAMS THROUGH FRIDAY. A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH
COMING OVER THE SOUTHERN STREAM RIDGE WILL BRING A FEW MORE CLOUDS
BUT NO PRECIPITATION. QUESTION FOR TONIGHT WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY
OF STRATUS AND FREEZING FOG. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE
NORTHEAST IN THE EVENING THEN SOUTHEAST LATE. EVEN WITH AN UPSLOPE
COMPONENT SPEEDS ARE RATHER LOW. FORECAST LOW TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR
TO SLIGHTLY BELOW AFTERNOON DEW POINTS. SHORT TERM GUIDANCE IS
CONFLICTING ON THE FOG. PATCHY WORDING STILL SEEMS LIKE A GOOD
COMPROMISE AT THIS POINT AND WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION POSSIBILITY
OF FREEZING FOG IN THE OVERNIGHT/EARLY MORNING HOURS THOUGH IT IS
FAR FROM CERTAIN. THE OLD SURFACE FRONT WHICH HAS BEEN ALONG THE
COLORADO FRONT RANGE WILL RETREAT EASTWARD ON FRIDAY. IT WILL
ROUGHLY MAKE IT ABOUT HALF WAY THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...ABOUT TO HIGHWAY 25...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO
THE 50S AND 60S TO THE WEST BUT ONLY REACHING THE 40S TO THE EAST.
DOWNSLOPING WINDS WEST OF THE FRONT WILL ALSO SCOUR OUT MOST IF
NOT ALL OF THE CLOUDS...THOUGH THEY MAY PERSIST IN THE EAST.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 PM MST THU NOV 28 2013

UPPER FLOW WILL BE WESTERLY THROUGH SUNDAY. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE FLOW SUNDAY. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST OF
NORTHWEST KANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE
REGION SATURDAY/SUNDAY.

SUBSIDENCE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE
LACKING SUNDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH. CONSEQUENTLY
POPS WILL BE NIL FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

MIN TEMPERATURES WILL COOL INTO THE MID 20S FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 50S
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

IN THE EXTENDED...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...

DRY AND SEASONABLY MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AS
WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES. MODELS BRING A COLD FRONT INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AS EARLY AS TUESDAY EVENING WITH MUCH COLDER AIR MOVING INTO
THE REGION. ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOOK VERY UNCERTAIN
TUESDAY NIGHT, MODELS INDICATE BETTER DYNAMICS MOVING INTO THE AREA
FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. MAX TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL RISE
TO THE MID 50S COOLING INTO THE UPPER 40S/LOW 50S TUESDAY. MAX
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL DROP TO THE 30S AND 20S
RESPECTIVELY. MIN TEMPERATURES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WILL RESIDE IN
THE UPPER 20S. MUCH COLDER LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS AND SINGLE
DIGITS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHTS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 432 PM MST THU NOV 28 2013

AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING CLOUDS
AND INCREASED MOISTURE TO THE REGION DURING THE TAF PERIOD...WHICH
WILL PRODUCE SOME BROKEN TO OVERCAST SKIES FOR BOTH TERMINALS.
SOME PATCHY FOG COULD DEVELOP AT KGLD TOWARDS THE MORNING HOURS
BEFORE SUNRISE...BRINGING MVFR VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE TAF PERIOD AT KGLD
AND KMCK.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...FS
AVIATION...MK