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000
FXUS63 KGLD 040900
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
200 AM MST WED DEC 4 2013

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 200 AM MST WED DEC 4 2013

WEATHER DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY PRODUCING LIGHT SNOW TO PARTS OF FAR
EASTERN COLORADO AND POINTS NORTH FORECAST TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY EXITING THE AREA FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST EARLY TONIGHT. THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST APPEARS TO
BE DRY AS MOISTURE BELOW 700MB IS RATHER WEAK. MID LEVEL MOISTURE
APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND NORTHWEST THURSDAY
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY NIGHT BUT ONLY AN INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS
EXPECTED. SHOULD SEE QUITE A BIT OF SUN FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH
ANOTHER INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH CLOUDS FRIDAY NIGHT.

HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY MID TEENS TO AROUND 20 IN FAR EASTERN
COLORADO WITH LOW TO MID 20S ELSEWHERE. ON THURSDAY SEVERAL
DEGREES COLDER WITH READINGS IN THE 10-15 RANGE IN FAR EASTERN
COLORADO AND MID TEENS TO AROUND 20 ELSEWHERE. FOR FRIDAY MID AND
UPPER TEENS EXPECTED. LOWS THROUGH THE PERIOD RATHER CHALLENGING
AND DEPEND ON A VARIETY OF THINGS INCLUDING WIND...CLOUD COVER AND
POSSIBILITY OF A BIT OF SNOW COVER. EITHER WAY ITS GONNA BE COLD
WITH READINGS BELOW ZERO IN FAR EASTERN COLORADO TONIGHT WITH ZERO
TO 10 ABOVE ELSEWHERE. FOR THURSDAY NIGHT GENERALLY A FEW DEGREES
EITHER SIDE OF ZERO. FRIDAY NIGHT A FEW DEGREES ABOVE ZERO.

WIND CHILL READINGS TONIGHT AS COLD AS 15-20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO
WEST OF A LINE FROM NEAR TRENTON NEBRASKA TO GOODLAND AND KIT
CARSON COLORADO. FOR THURSDAY NIGHT GENERALLY AROUND 10 BELOW
ZERO. MAY SEE SOME READINGS FLIRT WITH 15 BELOW ZERO IN PARTS OF
FAR EASTERN COLORADO. FOR FRIDAY NIGHT GENERALLY 10 TO 20 BELOW
ZERO...COLDEST ALONG AND WEST OF THE CO/KS BORDER. WILL BE
HIGHLITING THE POSSIBLE NEED FOR AN ADVISORY IN HWOGLD PRODUCT.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM MST TUE DEC 3 2013

ARCTIC AIR WILL BE FIRMLY ENTRENCHED THROUGHOUT THE LONG TERM
PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES MUCH BELOW NORMAL. BEST CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY PERIOD
WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTING ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
MODELS INDICATE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE...HIGHEST
AMOUNTS IN THE SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. THERE ARE
HINTS THAT TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE TOWARDS THE END OF
THE PERIOD AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL AND THE LARGE
TROUGH WHICH WAS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE ARCTIC OUTBREAK LIFTS OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 200 AM MST WED DEC 4 2013

FOR KGLD AND KMCK...MVFR CIGS EXPECTED THIS MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON WITH A BRIEF WINDOW TO POSSIBLY VFR (19Z-22Z) BEFORE
RETURNING TO MVFR AS A WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH. SOME
LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS DISTURBANCE. BY 03Z OR SO THIS
DISTURBANCE SHOULD BE SOUTH OF BOTH TERMINALS WITH A RETURN TO VFR
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REST OF THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS GENERALLY
FROM THE N/NW AT 15-20KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS THROUGH 00Z SLOWLY
DECREASING TO 10KTS FROM THE NW BY THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM...024
AVIATION...99