Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 281715
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1115 AM MDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 241 AM MDT SUN JUN 28 2015

UPPER FLOW WILL BE NORTHWEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH A RIDGE
OVER THE ROCKIES. A SURFACE FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN
BEHIND THE FRONT AND REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.  A
TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN COLORADO TUESDAY.

POPS WILL BE NIL TODAY DUE TO THE LACK OF ANY LIFT AND MOISTURE. A
SHORTWAVE IS ADVERTISED LATER TONIGHT AROUND 06Z MONDAY BUT
MOISTURE IS LACKING WITH BETTER MOISTURE FURTHER WEST SO WILL KEEP
THE FORECAST DRY. SUBSIDENCE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH
RESULTING NIL POPS. PLAN TO KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTHWEST FA. SLIGHT CHANCE
WILL BE HIGH ENOUGH DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE.

MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE TO THE LOWER 90S TODAY AND MONDAY AND
THEN THE MID TO UPPER 90S TUESDAY. MIN TEMPERATURES WILL COOL TO
THE LOWER 60S TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT AND 65 TO 70 TUESDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY) ISSUED AT 309 AM MDT SUN
JUN 28 2015

AT THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD MODELS SHOW THE HIGH
AMPLITUDE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE... THAT WE HAVE BEEN DISCUSSING THE
PAST FEW DAYS... WEAKEN AND FLATTEN WITH THE UPPER LEVEL HEIGHT
CENTER ELONGATED FROM NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TO NORTHERN TEXAS. THE
ORIENTATION OF THIS HEIGHT CENTER WILL ALLOW A SERIES OF MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS AND SURFACE COOL FRONTS WILL PUSH THROUGH THE
HIGH PLAINS THROUGH SATURDAY. WITH EACH PASSING OF SHORTWAVES AND
COOL FRONTS THERE WILL BE A CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH THEM. COME SUNDAY... AS THE JET STREAM BECOMES
MORE ZONAL OVER SOUTHERN CANADA... THE TRI STATE AREA SHOULD
RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL CONDITIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1112 AM MDT SUN JUN 28 2015

QUIET TAF PERIOD AHEAD FOR BOTH TERMINALS AS A HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BRING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WIND
SHIFTS. VFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...BW
AVIATION...MK



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