Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 271913
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
113 PM MDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 106 PM MDT Tue Sep 27 2016

Dry and warm conditions will continue.

The upper ridge strengthens over the High Plains region through
tonight and Wednesday with the high over the Gulf of Mexico
extending northward into southern Canada by Wednesday evening.

It appears a weak trough/cold front moves through the central high
plains region overnight. This will bring slightly cooler high
temperatures to the forecast area on Wednesday as the cold air
advection veers through the day and becomes return flow around a
high pressure area that will be pushing deeper into the central
plains from the northern plains.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 152 AM MDT Tue Sep 27 2016

Mainly dry conditions are anticipated through the first half
of the weekend before shower and thunderstorm chances increase
Sunday. Temperatures remain steady, with highs generally in the 70s
and lows in the mid 40s to low 50s.

Guidance has come into better agreement at the start of the
extended period with a closed low over the Ohio River Valley and
ridging over the Plains. The ridge breaks down on Friday and
Saturday as the next low pressure system pushes onto the west
coast. The upper low over the eastern CONUS lifts northward Sunday
and Monday and southwesterly flow strengthens aloft ahead of the
incoming trough, with a weak cold front advancing towards the
region.

Moisture gradually increases as a series of shortwaves work their
way through the southwesterly flow and across the High Plains.
These disturbances generate shower and thunderstorm chances
Friday night into the weekend. However, the majority of the
forecast area looks to stay dry through Sunday with the best
chance for precipitation looking to be Sunday evening into Monday
as the next system nears the region.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1100 AM MDT Tue Sep 27 2016

High pressure dominates the pattern with VFR conditions under
clear skies and variable winds of 6kts or less through the TAF
period at both locations.


&&

.GLD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...JBH
AVIATION...LOCKHART


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