Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 131930
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
130 PM MDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 127 PM MDT SAT SEP 13 2014

UPPER FLOW WILL BE WESTERLY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.  SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT AND DRIFT
EAST SUNDAY AS A SURFACE TROUGH MOVES INTO EASTERN COLORADO.

THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN DRY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH SUBSIDENCE OVER
THE AREA. SOME DYNAMICS FROM A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH THE
EASTERN ZONES LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. POPS WILL BE NIL TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY MORNING WITH SOME SILENT POPS IN EASTERN COLORADO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

BOUNDARY LAYER RH INCREASES AGAIN LATER TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
PLAN TO INTRODUCE SOME STRATUS ACROSS THE WESTERN 2 TIERS OF THE
NORTHWEST KANSAS ZONES. SINCE RH IS UNDER 90 PERCENT WILL LEAVE
OUT PATCHY FOG.

MIN TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL NOT BE AS COLD WITH READINGS IN THE
MID 40S. MAX TEMPERATURES SUNDAY SHOULD RISE TO THE MID/UPPER 70S
WITH AROUND 80 POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE FA.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 218 AM MDT SAT SEP 13 2014

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE HIGH PLAINS REGION
TUESDAY...WHICH WILL TRANSLATE TO DRY WEATHER TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING.  THERE WILL BE SOME CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS EMBEDDED
IN MAIN UPPER FLOW WILL PROGRESS OVER THE AREA.  SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL BRING THE RETURN OF NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE TRI STATE
AREA FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S AND
LOWER 80S.  UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE TO THE EAST ON THURSDAY WITH
MORE OF A DIRECT INFLUENCE TO THE FORECAST AREA...WHICH SHOULD KEEP
CONDITIONS DRY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.  THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BREAK
DOWN AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN REGION ON
FRIDAY...WHICH WILL BRING SOME INSTABILITY TO THE HIGH PLAINS AND
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.  HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL IN THE MID 80S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1131 AM MDT SAT SEP 13 2014

LATE MORNING MVFR STRATUS DECK AT KGLD SHOULD BREAK UP EARLY WITH
VFR CONDITIONS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. VFR WILL CONTINUE UNTIL LATER
TONIGHT WHEN SOUTHERLY WIND WILL ADVECT MORE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
INTO THE AREA. DO NOT EXPECT ANY SIGNIFICANT RESTRICTIONS IN
VISIBILITY AT KGLD SINCE MOISTURE IS NOT AS EXTENSIVE AS TODAY.
KMCK WILL REMAIN VFR UNTIL LATE TONIGHT WHEN THE SAME AREA OF
MOISTURE RETURN MOVES INTO THE TERMINAL. DO NOT EXPECT ANY
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS THERE SINCE THE SITE IS ON THE EDGE OF THE
MOISTURE RETURN.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...MK
AVIATION...FS



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