Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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000
FXUS63 KBIS 291927
AFDBIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
227 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 214 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

AFTER THE GUSTY WINDS SUBSIDE EARLY THIS EVENING CENTRAL AND EAST
EXPECT NO SIGNIFICANT ISSUES FOR THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD.
DEEP SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN ONTARIO EXITING THE REGION
TONIGHT AND AFTER 7 PM WINDS SHOULD SIGNIFICANTLY DIMINISH. SKIES
WILL BE CLEAR. BROAD H500 NORTHWEST FLOW TRENDS WEAKLY ANTICYCLONIC
WILL FOLLOW THE H500 EXITING LOW FOR THE NORTHERN PLAINS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN MIDDLE 80S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 40S WILL GIVE
LOWER MIN RH VALUES TO AROUND 20 PERCENT THURSDAY ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST. GRASSES HAVE BEEN CURING OF LATE AND THIS MAY BECOME
AS ISSUE AS THE WEEKEND ARRIVES WITH HIGHS FROM THE UPPER 80S TO
NEAR 90. HOWEVER WINDS ARE NOT A FACTOR AS WEAK SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE REGION.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 214 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP THE MAJORITY OF NORTH DAKOTA
DRY THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL
(80S TO LOW 90S). SEVERAL FAST MOVING SHORT WAVE TROUGHS
TRAVERSING THE RIDGE MAY BRING SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO THE
AREA THIS WEEKEND...HOWEVER THE BETTER CHANCES HOLD OFF UNTIL
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 214 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35KT WILL END AFTER 7 PM CDT
THIS WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE DEEP SURFACE LOW OVER ONTARIO EXITS
THE REGION TO THE EAST. VFR EXPECTED.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR NDZ002>005-010>013-
019>023-025-034>037-048-051.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WAA
LONG TERM...AJ
AVIATION...WAA



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