Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 240839

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
339 AM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 316 AM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

Widespread showers will continue across the region for the
remainder of this morning then begin to diminish rapidly from
west to east during the daytime hours. The highest rain amounts
Will be in the southern James River valley with nearly two inches
expected with generally around a half inch central to lesser
amounts west. Highs today will be in the upper 40s to mid 50s.

After the showers trail off tonight clouds will remain in place
most areas so expect minimum temperatures Monday morning to
remain above the frost thresholds for the most part. lows tonight
will be in the upper 30s west to mid 40s east.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 316 AM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

The long term will see the h500 trough slowly move east and fill
keeping cyclonic flow aloft and at least scattered showers across
the northern plains Monday into Tuesday. Following Tuesday
rising h500 heights can be expected across the northwest US.
Although weakly cyclonic flow remains over North Dakota in a
generally northwest flow regime through Thursday, there should be
only minimal chances for rain. High temperatures will rebound
into the 60s. Low temperatures will be in the mid 30s to lower 40s
so patchy frost will be possible next week but a widespread
freeze is still not expected through at least Saturday.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1219 AM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

MVFR/IFR ceilings across southern and central ND will spread
northward into KISN before 12z. Ceilings to become IFR across all
TAF sites early this morning, except remaining MVFR at KISN.
Conditions improving to VFR at KISN Sunday afternoon, and at KMOT
Sunday evening.

Showers will continue to stream northward across the state to all
terminals. Moderate to heavy showers at times, especially
for KJMS. Precipitation chances decrease from northwest to southeast
on Sunday, ending first at KISN by 18z and with only slight chances
remaining at KMOT/KBIS/KJMS by late Sunday evening.




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