Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 180032
AFDBIS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
632 PM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 627 PM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

Current forecast trending ok. West winds a little gusty north this
evening but this will diminish now that the sun has set. Will only
update the current conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 229 PM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

Mild and dry continues for the short term.

A slightly cooler day is expected Saturday as cold air advection
moves in briefly later tonight behind a departing wave. Winds will
also shift from the favored westerly direction to a slightly
cooler and more moist easterly direction. Overall this should do
little more than bring increased cloud cover and slightly cooler
temperatures to the region Saturday.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 229 PM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

The long term still appears mild. There are a few decent chances
for precipitation.

The first good chance arrives Sunday night into Monday. Some light
freezing rain is possible across northern North Dakota early
Monday morning with temperatures right near or slightly below
freezing. The rest of North Dakota looks to see rain beginning
Sunday night into Monday. This will be a quick moving system, so
only minor precipitation amounts are expected.

Another fast moving may move across northern North Dakota
Wednesday. This could bring some light rain/snow to far northern
counties.

Models continue to indicate a much more substantial storm by the
end of the week. The latest runs indicate a more southward trend
and keep most of North Dakota dry, but this far out a lot can
change.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 627 PM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

A broad region of high pressure across Wyoming and South Dakota
will maintain vfr conditions for all TAF sites.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...WAA
SHORT TERM...AJ
LONG TERM...AJ
AVIATION...WAA



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