Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FXUS63 KBIS 061001
AFDBIS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
401 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 326 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016

A major winter storm continues across North Dakota this Tuesday
morning.

A deep 994mb surface low continues to pivot across northeast North
Dakota. As it does, wrap around moisture continues to stream into
central North Dakota. This is leading to moderate snowfall across
a wide swath of central and eastern North Dakota. A steep pressure
gradient and strong cold air advection are combining to produce
wind gusts up to 50 mph. This moderate snowfall is combining with
the high winds to limit visibility, to near zero at times. Latest
short-term guidance suggests the snowfall will end later this
morning, but the strong winds will persist through the afternoon
and maybe even into the evening hours. This will create dangerous
travel conditions nearly Statewide through the day.

Temperatures continue to fall today, with wind chills dipping down
to around 20 below. Basically, today is a great day to stay
inside.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 326 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016

Bitterly cold temperatures and dangerous wind chills highlight
the long term.

Reinforcing shots of cold air will keep temperatures very cold
through the next week...potentially even longer. Wind chills will
be below zero all day...everyday...for the next week.

There will be a break from snowfall for a couple of days after the
Tuesday storm departs. Chances for snow will return Friday and
Saturday as an active patter sets up.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1231 AM CST Tue Dec 6 2016

Widespread IFR and LIFR conditions are forecast across western
and central ND through Tuesday afternoon due to snow and blowing
snow. Gusty northwest winds to 45 kt in western and central ND
this evening will spread into the eastern part of the state late
tonight and then continue into Tuesday.


&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Blizzard Warning until 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ this evening for
NDZ003>005-011>013-019>023-025-034>037-042-045>047-050.

Blizzard Warning until 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ this morning for
NDZ001-002-009-010-017-018-031>033.

Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for NDZ048-
051.

Winter Weather Advisory until 11 AM MST this morning for NDZ040-
041-043-044.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AJ
LONG TERM...AJ
AVIATION...AJ


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