Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 031733
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1133 AM CST Sat Dec 3 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday)
Issued at 316 AM CST Sat Dec 3 2016

Today-Sunday:
Ceilings continue to decrease early this as lower levels slowly
saturate. Anticipate persistent increase in precipitation as lift
increases, especially in Central KS this morning and Southeast KS
this afternoon/evening. Still will be some potential for a
rain/snow mix, most likely in Central KS. No significant
accumulations of snow are expected. With passage of shortwave
late tonight/early Sunday, should see an uptick in precipitation
in the precipitation, especially over eastern half and then
clearing late tonight in the west late. Clouds/precipitation will
likely keep minimums up a bit in the far southeast sections, but
late radiational cooling should allow minimums to drop in Central
KS, only slightly offset by downslope flow. There is a small
chance that precipitation could linger in extreme Southeast KS
Sunday morning. Otherwise return flow develops during the day.

Monday:
Above normal temperatures will linger one more day with some
sunshine and south winds.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 316 AM CST Sat Dec 3 2016

Appears that surge of cold air will traverse the area during the
early morning hours on Tuesday. Medium range models are in
surprisingly good Agreement this morning, but until this persists
for a couple of runs, confidence is still not that high that these
runs are any better than previous ones. That said, trend that
precipitation could break out in the predawn hours Wednesday
morning as shallow cold airmass is overrun by warmer air aloft is
still on track. This could persist throughout the day as wave
traverses the area Wednesday night. Wide gamut of possibilities
with snow accumulations. -Howerton

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1123 AM CST Sat Dec 3 2016

Radar and observation data shows a rain/snow line that extends
from near Concordia, Kansas southwest through Dodge Citym Kansas.
IFR conditions across western Kansas will persist and gradually
move across the state.

The precipitation will overspread the eastern portion of Kansas
this evening. The rain/snow line will gradually make it east but
not that far. It will not make much of a difference anyway as
temperatures will remain above freezing where it is precipitating.

IFR conditions clear out by Noon tomorrow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    44  34  51  31 /  60  60   0   0
Hutchinson      42  30  50  29 /  80  60   0   0
Newton          44  34  49  30 /  70  60   0   0
ElDorado        47  35  51  31 /  60  60   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   48  35  52  32 /  70  60   0  10
Russell         36  25  49  27 /  60  40   0   0
Great Bend      37  26  49  27 /  60  50   0   0
Salina          42  30  50  28 /  80  60   0   0
McPherson       42  30  49  28 /  80  60   0   0
Coffeyville     53  37  52  32 /  50  60  10  10
Chanute         53  36  51  31 /  50  70  10  10
Iola            52  36  51  31 /  50  70  10   0
Parsons-KPPF    53  36  52  32 /  50  60  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...PJH
LONG TERM...PJH
AVIATION...KRC



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