Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KJKL 272000
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
400 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 400 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

A LINE OF THUNDERTORMS STRETCHED NE/SW THROUGH CENTRAL KENTUCKY AT
MID AFTERNOON...AND WAS PROGRESSING TOWARD EASTERN KENTUCKY. IF IT
HOLD TOGETHER...IT WILL ARRIVE IN OUR WESTERN COUNTIES AROUND
5 PM. IT IS HEADING INTO A DRIER AIR MASS...SO THERE IS
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW LONG IT WILL PERSIST. HAVE USED CHANCE POPS
OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...THINKING THAT A LESS
FAVORABLE AIR MASS AND AN EVENTUAL LOSS OF HEATING THIS EVENING
WILL BRING ITS DEMISE. LATE TONIGHT A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE NORTH...LIKELY REACHING KENTUCKY EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. MODELS SHOW SOME SPOTTY LIGHT PRECIP AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
HAVE USED A SLIGHT CHANCE OVER OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES...WITH A
DIURNAL CONVECTIVE MINIMUM LIMITING ACTIVITY.

WHAT IS LEFT OF THE DYING FRONT WILL LINGER OVER THE REGION ON
THURSDAY. WITHOUT ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN AIR MASS AND THE
REMNANTS OF THE FRONT IN THE AREA...SHOWER AND STORM COULD AGAIN
POP UP.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 400 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

AN UPDATED LONG TERM DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 149 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015

CEILINGS HAD RISEN AND BEGUN TO BREAK UP AT MID DAY...ALLOWING
CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE TO VFR ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY TAF
ISSUANCE TIME. MOSTLY VFR IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. AN AREA
OF THUNDERSTORMS HEADING EAST INTO CENTRAL KY AT TAF ISSUANCE
COULD MAKE IT INTO THE JKL FORECAST AREA OF EASTERN KY DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THIS COULD BRING SUB VFR
CONDITIONS...BUT UNCERTAINTY IS TOO LOW TO WARRANT INCLUDING IT IN
THE FORECAST. VALLEY FOG MAY ALSO BRING LOCALIZED IFR LATE TONIGHT
AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...BUT UNLESS PRECIP OCCURS...THE FOG
SHOULD NOT BE AN ISSUE AT TAF SITES.


&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HAL
LONG TERM...JP
AVIATION...HAL


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.