Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FXUS63 KJKL 260717

National Weather Service Jackson KY
317 AM EDT Wed Oct 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 317 AM EDT WED OCT 26 2016

High clouds continue to stream across the region early this
morning. These clouds have had little impact on temperatures as
our eastern valleys have fallen into the middle 30s and will
likely fall into the lower 30s by daybreak. This should be cold
enough for some patchy frost. Plan to let the frost advisory run
with no changes.

The cold weather will be short lived as a warm front will lift
northward across the region today, with temperatures climbing into
the 70s by this afternoon. High clouds will likely thin out as the
front lifts north today. However, an approaching mid level trough
will bring increasing mid/high clouds again tonight as it moves
into the Ohio river valley. Still expect our eastern valleys to
decouple early on tonight and fall quickly back into the 40s by
late evening. As the trough moves closer overnight, gradient will
increase and we may see those temperatures start to come up a bit,
especially as the clouds thicken up overnight. The ECMWF has
slowed down the trough to match the GFS, so it looks like the main
rain chances will come on Thursday. However, models have trended
weaker with the system and now looks like much of the area could
see very little if any rainfall with this system. In fact, most
models agree no more than a few hundredths of an inch of rainfall
will fall at most. Thus, pops have been cut way back and for
southwest areas, only a mention of sprinkles is warranted at this
time. With the weaker system, have also removed any mention of

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 317 AM EDT WED OCT 26 2016

Long term discussion will follow shortly.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)

VFR conditions will be experienced through the period. Southwest
winds will develop between 5 and 10 knots late Wednesday morning
and continue through the afternoon. High/mid clouds will begin to
thicken late in the period. Some low level wind shear may develop
ahead of an approaching cold front tomorrow evening as winds die
off at the TAF sites.


Frost Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for KYZ052-060-069-



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