000
FXUS63 KJKL 221800
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
200 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

STILL WAITING FOR THE CONVECTION TO GET GOING TODAY. THE AREA WEST OF
JKL IS MORE STABLE THAN WHAT WE SAY YESTERDAY. THE AREA TO THE EAST
WHERE THERE HAS BEEN A LOT LESS CLOUD COVER IS BECOMING VERY
UNSTABLE. THE MISSING INGREDIENT IS SOME FORCING TO GET THE CONVECTION
GOING. WITH TIME THE DIFFERENTIAL HEATING MAY BE ENOUGH AND THEN SOME
CONVECTION MAY START POPPING UP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY. THIS EASTERN PORTION
OF THE AREA IS MOST LIKELY TO SEE ANY SEVERE WEATHER TODAY. AT THE
TAF STATIONS...THEY SHOULD SEE JUST GARDEN VARIETY THUNDERSTORMS.
THE FOG POTENTIAL TONIGHT WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH RAIN FALL THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LATER THIS EVENING AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE
NEAR THE AREA AND KICK OFF SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS TOMORROW AS
THE TROUGH PASSES.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

THE EXTENDED DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013

STILL WAITING FOR THE CONVECTION TO GET GOING TODAY. THE AREA WEST OF
JKL IS MORE STABLE THAN WHAT WE SAY YESTERDAY. THE AREA TO THE EAST
WHERE THERE HAS BEEN A LOT LESS CLOUD COVER IS BECOMING VERY
UNSTABLE. THE MISSING INGREDIENT IS SOME FORCING TO GET THE CONVECTION
GOING. WITH TIME THE DIFFERENTIAL HEATING MAY BE ENOUGH AND THEN SOME
CONVECTION MAY START POPPING UP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY. THIS EASTERN PORTION
OF THE AREA IS MOST LIKELY TO SEE ANY SEVERE WEATHER TODAY. AT THE
TAF STATIONS...THEY SHOULD SEE JUST GARDEN VARIETY THUNDERSTORMS.
THE FOG POTENTIAL TONIGHT WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH RAIN FALL THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PUT SOME MIST IN THE FORECAST THINKING THAT
ALL THE STATIONS WILL SEE SOME RAINFALL. LATER THIS EVENING AN UPPER
TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AND KICK OFF SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. EXCEPT FOR SOME TEMPO IFR VICINITY OF
THUNDERSTORMS...MOST OF THE AREA WILL SEE VFR UNTIL AFTER 6Z WHEN
SOME MIST WILL BE FORMING.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JJ
LONG TERM...ABE
AVIATION...JJ