Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FXUS63 KJKL 211918
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
318 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 318 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

CURRENT CONDITIONS ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY FEATURE CONTINUED LOW
LEVEL CLOUD COVER AND EVEN A FEW AREAS OF DRIZZLE. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THEN WITH
NORTHWEST FLOW BRINGING RIDGING AND RESULTANT CLEARING IN CENTRAL
IL AND NORTHERN IN...THESE CLEARING SKIES WILL EVENTUALLY MAKE IT
INTO EAST KENTUCKY LATE TONIGHT TOWARDS DAWN. THE CLOUD COVER HAS
KEPT MAX TEMPS DOWN FROM THE DAY AND THEREFORE WILL DROP INTO THE
LOWER 40S LATE TONIGHT. WITH DEW POINTS STILL IN THE UPPER 30S TO
LOW 40S UPSTREAM...TEMPS WILL LIKELY FALL LATE TONIGHT TO THEIR
DEW POINTS IN MANY LOCATIONS AND WITH THE LIGHT WINDS...DENSE FOG
IS LIKELY TO BE AN ISSUE TOWARDS DAWN TONIGHT. WILL BE PUTTING
THIS IN THE HWO AND ALLOWING THE EVENING OR EVEN THE NIGHT SHIFT
DECIDE IF AN SPS IS NEEDED. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT THE AREA
NEVER CLEARS OUT AND STAYS OVERCAST INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
BUT WILL GO WITH THE CLEARING SCENARIO LATE TONIGHT.

THE COOLER AIR MASS IN PLACE WILL MAKE FOR A DRY AND COOL DAY FOR
TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS ONLY MAKING IT INTO THE LOWER 70S.
ALSO TOMORROW AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE ENTERING FROM THE
WEST...A WEAK TROUGH WILL BE PASSING BY TO THE NORTHEAST. GIVEN
THE RIDGING MOVING IN FROM THE WEST...AND WHAT THE SREF AND NAM
ARE ADVERTISING...ANY PRECIP WILL REMAIN TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF
THE AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW CLOUDS AND WILL KEEP THE AREA
DRY. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL AGAIN FEATURE PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS AS THE COOLER AIR MASS MODIFIES AND MIN
TEMPS RETURN TO NORMAL. CLOUD COVER SATURDAY MORNING SHOULD HINDER
ANY SIGNIFICANT FOG DEVELOPMENT.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 320 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

THE LONG TERM DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

EXPECT IFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD
COVER AND LINGERING MOISTURE KEEPING POOR CONDITIONS INTO THIS
EVENING. WITH THE EXCEPTION TO A FEW AREAS OF DRIZZLE REMAINING
AND EVEN A SHOWER OR TWO...CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT A
BIT WITH SOME LIFTING CEILINGS TO AT LEAST MVFR AND EVENING CLEAR
OUT BY 06Z. HOWEVER...WITH LIFTING CEILINGS...DENSE FOG WILL SOCK
IN THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND CONDITIONS WILL REACH BELOW MINS AT
MANY LOCATIONS BY THE PREDAWN HOURS. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF
THE WEST AND NORTHWEST THE ENTIRE PERIOD BUT BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE LATE TONIGHT.


&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SHALLENBERGER
LONG TERM...JMW
AVIATION...SHALLENBERGER



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