Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 271131
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
631 AM CDT Mon Jul 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)

Muggy conditions continued over extreme southeast Kansas and the
Missouri Ozarks. Early morning temperatures struggled to cool out
of the 80s as dew points rose into the middle 70s.

All precipitation was out of state this morning, and should remain
away from the Ozarks through most of today. Look for another
sweltering day with heat indices ranging from 100 to 110 degrees.

We have expanded the Excessive Heat Warning for the Osage River
Valley through Benton County. Many of these locations within the
Warning are now reaching 4 consecutive days of 105 degrees or
greater.

For tonight, not much will change with overnight lows ranging from
the middle 70s to the lower 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)

The summertime high is expected to continue expanding over the
Ozarks. This pattern will bring even hotter temperatures, although
dew points may have a shot to mix down a bit during the afternoon.

The heat headlines could possibly come to an end by Wednesday, as
some relief will occur with the passage of a cold front. This
frontal system will also trigger showers and thunderstorms
Wednesday and Wednesday night.

The summertime high then refocuses over the Great Basin through
the end of the week. This will mitigate temperatures from reaching
the 90s Thursday through the weekend. This pattern will also bring
some precipitation chances to the area.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday Morning)
Issued at 627 AM CDT MON JUL 27 2015

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR conditions are expected. While
isolated thunderstorms are possible, an upper level ridge of high
pressure will greatly limit chances and areal extent.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...HEAT ADVISORY from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM CDT this evening
     FOR MOZ056>058-068>071-079>083-089>092-094>098-102>106.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM CDT this
     evening FOR MOZ055-066-067-077-078-088-093-101.

KS...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM CDT this
     evening FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...DSA






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