Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 052314
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
514 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 0225 PM CST FRI FEB 05 2016

In the near term, fire weather is a modest concern. RH values have
again fallen to into the 20s with a few modest wind gusts of
15kts/15-20 mph at times over southern MO. Winds will die down
toward sunset.

Mid/high level clouds will increase with a shortwave passage
tonight. Then it looks quiet for Saturday, but continued dry.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 0225 PM CST FRI FEB 05 2016

Another more substantial system and cold front will move through
on Sunday. Initially fire weather will be a concern with
increasing and shifting sfc winds and continued low afternoon RH
values.

Much colder air with windy weather is expected Monday with
clouds/flurries on the backside of a closed upper low moving from
the Midwest into the OH Vly.

A western CONUS ridge and eastern trough will keep our area in a
dry upper level nw flow pattern for much of next week. We expect
a couple of frontal passages/wind shifts next week with clouds at
times. A cold start will moderate as the heart of the cold air
mass shifts off to the east. High temperatures in the 50s are
expected Thu and looks to be the warmest day for the work week
next week with a modest cool down for Fri.

Fire weather will continue to be a concern at times with dry
fuels and little in the way of meaningful precip. The RH/wind
combo in the fcst doesn`t reach warning criteria, but any day
with gusty winds will at least reach the elevated category.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday Evening)

Pilots flying in and out of the southwest Missouri airports can
expect VFR conditions over the next 24 hours.

Weak southerly breezes are expected overnight as high clouds
stream over the region.

A cold front will approach the Ozarks on Saturday, and create a
wind shift to the west during the morning hours.

Otherwise, no low ceilings or obstructions to visibility are
expected at this time.

Safe travels.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...Cramer



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