Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 170741
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
241 AM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017

Abundant sunshine and warm temps will be the rule for Today. The
exception will be across the far eastern Ozarks where a diffuse
boundary may trigger an isolated shower or storm but that will be
the exception and most if not all places will remain dry. High
temperatures will be similar to Sunday if not a degree or two
warmer in places.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 225 AM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017

The ingredients will be in place for a classic summer time heat
wave across the Missouri Ozarks and SE Kansas for Tuesday through
Sunday. A 597dm mid level high will move overhead and shut off
any cloudcover or precip chances. Winds will remain out of the
south to southwest and dew points will remain around 70. Several
locations are already seeing drying of the ground/grass and this
will only become more prevalent as we go through this week.

High temperatures will generally warm a degree or two each day
with Friday and Saturday currently looking like the hottest days
with upper 90s common across the area. Depending on the extent of
afternoon mixing, heat indicies will remain between 100 and 110
from mainly Wednesday onward. Therefore this will be a prolonged
heat wave. An Excessive Heat Watch remains in effect for locations
across Central Missouri where heat indices will remain highest
for the longest period of time. It is likely though that Heat
Advisories will be issued for the area this week with later
forecasts. Bottom line: Its going to be hot.

Now is the time to prepare for the heat, especially individuals
with heat sensitives, outdoor workers, and those without air
conditioning. This will be a prolonged stretch of hot weather.

Global models do show this strong mid level high moving to our
east after this weekended which might open the door to our next
precipitation chances.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1136 PM CDT Sun Jul 16 2017

Pretty dry air mass in place over the area and will keep VFR
conditions across the area. High pressure over the region will
keep winds light and variable through the period.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Excessive Heat Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Saturday
     evening for MOZ055>058.

KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...Lindenberg



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