Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 191037
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
337 AM MST TUE MAY 19 2015

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
NEAR THE UTAH BORDER TODAY. OTHERWISE...EXPECT DRIER AND WARMER
CONDITIONS TO RETURN THROUGH MIDWEEK. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL BRING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS BACK TO THE REGION FRIDAY...WITH
LINGERING SHOWERS POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH ON SATURDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA EARLIER
TODAY IS JUST ABOUT CLEAR OF THE EASTERN BORDER AND INTO NEW
MEXICO. DRIER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR A MOSTLY SUNNY
DAY...ALTHOUGH LINGERING INSTABILITY NEAR THE UTAH BORDER MAY LEAD
TO AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO THIS AFTERNOON. DRY AND SLIGHTLY
WARMER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
AND SHOULD MAKE FOR A PAIR OF NEAR NORMAL MAY DAYS.

BY FRIDAY...ANOTHER CLOSED LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH THE LOWER
COLORADO RIVER ZONES AND INTO NORTHERN ARIZONA. THIS LOW WILL
BRING AREAS OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...BUT SHOULD NOT BE
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW IN ANY POPULATED AREAS. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY
MOVE AWAY FOR A MOSTLY DRY AND WARMER MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...ISOLATED -SHRA ARE POSSIBLE
NORTH OF A SUPAI TO WINDOW ROCK LINE THROUGH 06Z WEDS WITH SCT-
BKN120 CLOUD BASES. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
SURFACE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON SW-WSW 10-20KT. AVIATION DISCUSSION
NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...FOR TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...LOOK FOR SOUTHWEST
BREEZES DURING THE AFTERNOONS ALONG WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES 5-7
DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE.

THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PICK UP ON
THURSDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. EXPECT INCREASED
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ON FRIDAY. LOW
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY WITH BELOW
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...PETERSON
AVIATION...DL
FIRE WEATHER...DL



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