Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS65 KFGZ 230334
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
834 PM MST WED JUL 22 2015

.SYNOPSIS...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING DRY AND WARM AIR INTO
NORTHERN ARIZONA...WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS LIMITED TO MAINLY
EASTERN ARIZONA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY CONTINUE ACROSS APACHE COUNTY THIS
EVENING...WITH GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
NORTHLAND. LITTLE CHANGE TO THE RATHER BENIGN SHORT-TERM FORECAST
IS ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /230 AM MST/...A WEST COAST TROUGH WILL INFLUENCE
THE WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA INTO THE COMING WEEKEND. THE
TROUGH WILL PROVIDE A DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW PREVENTING THE MONSOON
BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHEAST ARIZONA/NORTHERN MEXICO FROM VENTURING
NORTHWARD. ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL LINGER OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF FAR
EAST-CENTRAL ARIZONA FOR AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWER OR TWO EACH
DAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

BY SUNDAY OR MONDAY...MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT IN WEAKENING THE
WEST COAST TROUGH AND MOVING IT TO THE EAST. IN RESPONSE, HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT WILL THEN SHIFT OVER ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO
OPENING THE DOOR TO THE RETURN OF MONSOON MOISTURE. ACCORDINGLY,
LOOK FOR AN INCREASING THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LOOK FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE MOUNTAINS FROM KSOW-KRQE EAST.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER
NORTHERN ARIZONA FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AN ISOLATED
AFTERNOON SHOWER OR STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY OVER
THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. OTHERWISE...EXPECT DECREASING HUMIDITY AND
BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS.

SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...A SLOW INCREASE IN MONSOON MOISTURE IS
ANTICIPATED. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN
WITHIN SEASONABLY NORMAL RANGES FOR MOST AREAS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...KD/MCCOLLUM
AVIATION...KD
FIRE WEATHER...MCCOLLUM

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.