National Weather Service National Headquarters

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS65 KFGZ 130401
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
830 PM MST SUN MAY 12 2013

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS. MOST OF NORTHERN ARIZONA WILL SEE DRY WEATHER THROUGH
FRIDAY...THOUGH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER AROUND THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. THE USUAL
GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL RETURN STARTING TUESDAY...BECOMING
WINDY BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
BRINGING WARMER TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS. ENOUGH MOISTURE
WILL REMAIN TO BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE EASTERN
MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS AGAIN ON MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...MOSTLY
SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.

A WARM AND DRY WESTERLY FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO ABOVE SEASONABLE READINGS. BY
TUESDAY PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL BEGIN TO FAVOR SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE
WINDS. AS A RESULT...THE SPRING WIND MACHINE WILL BEGIN TO SPIN-UP
WITH STRONGER SOUTHWEST WINDS EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEK. A DRY
WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA LATE IN THE WEEK
DELIVERING DOWNRIGHT WINDY CONDITIONS BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT
WINDS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...HIGH PRESSURE OVER ARIZONA WILL BRING CONTINUED WARM
TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
A FEW HIGH BASED LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WHITE MOUNTAINS
REGION THROUGH TUESDAY.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST AS
LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. DRY AND WARM
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE...WITH BREEZY WINDS EACH DAY. STRONGER WIND
SPEEDS ON FRIDAY WILL APPROACH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS.

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC..............MCCOLLUM/DB
AVIATION............MCCOLLUM/BOHLIN
FIRE WEATHER........BOHLIN

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF