Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 170339
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
834 PM MST THU OCT 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
THEN...AS A SERIES OF WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS
ARIZONA...THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SKY GRIDS FOR TONIGHT WERE UPDATED TO INCREASE CLOUD COVER FOR AREAS
SOUTH OF I-40. THIS DUE TO CIRRUS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO
NRN AZ AHEAD OF A WEAK UPPER LOW JUST OFF THE WESTERN BAJA COAST.




AHEAD OF A WEAK LOW OVER

.PREV DISCUSSION 334 PM
A SERIES OF GENERALLY WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST FROM MID-DAY FRIDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE
MAIN IMPACT WILL LIKELY BE WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS AT TIMES
AND HIGH TEMPERATURES COOLING DOWN A FEW DEGREES. ISOLATED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PERIODICALLY JOIN THE SHOWERS...BUT ANY
PRECIPITATION IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY LIGHT FOR
MOST LOCATIONS.

HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO RETURN TO THE SOUTHWEST BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS...THOUGH SMOKE MAY IMPACT KGCN WITH 3-5SM VSBYS THROUGH 15Z
FRI. EXPECT SCT-BKN CLOUD BASES AOA 20KFT MSL THROUGH 18Z FRI. AFTER
18Z...CLOUDS DECKS LOWER TO 15-20 KFT MSL...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. SEVERAL PLANNED BURNS WILL ALSO BRING LOCALIZED
SMOKE. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DL KD
AVIATION.......DL JJ

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF











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