Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 280402

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
902 PM MST Sun Nov 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A winter storm will bring areas of rain and snow to
eastern Arizona into tonight. Occasional showers will linger into
Tuesday morning. Cold and dry conditions are then expected through


The main area of showers has moved into eastern AZ (Navajo,
Apache, N Gila) at this time, with most showers having ended in
Yavapai and Coconino counties. As such, we have trimmed back the
Winter Wx Advisory a bit. General snow accumulations above 6000
feet have commonly been in the 2 to 6 inch range thus far in areas
the main precip band has already rolled through.


.PREV DISCUSSION /326 PM MST/...The main precipitation will end
quickly tonight, with the steady precipitation ending by sunrise
Monday near the New Mexico border. A weak s/wv will move into the
cool and moist airmass again on Monday afternoon and evening,
producing additional snow showers to areas along and east of the
Mogollon Rim into Tuesday morning.

Finally, cold and dry northwest flow will move across the state
through Thursday. Most models advertise a cut-off low late in the
week. The trajectory of this low is uncertain for now, and we
will keep an eye on it.


.AVIATION...For the 06Z package...A weather system will sweep
across northern Arizona . Expect widespread MVFR/IFR conditions
along with scattered rain and snow showers through 09z. After
09z...shower activity and clouds will be on the decrease. There
could be localized patches of fog through 14z. Another weather
disturbance will produce scattered snow and rain showers with
MVFR/IFR conditions Monday afternoon...mainly along and north of a
KGCN-KFLG-KSOW line. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF


.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...Winter Weather Advisory until 6
AM MST Monday FOR AZZ016>018.




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