Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 191013

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
313 AM MST Fri May 19 2017

.SYNOPSIS...A band of showers over eastern Arizona will move into
New Mexico early this morning. Skies will clear from west to east
today. Fair weather and warmer temperatures are forecast from
Saturday through much of next week.


.DISCUSSION...A weak weather disturbance rotating around the
broad upper low will move east into New Mexico taking the
remaining showers with it early this morning. Drier air will
advect across the region resulting in clearing skies through the
day. Afternoon high temperatures will remain below normal but will
be around 5 degrees warmer than yesterday.

Dry weather and moderating temperatures will be the main story
over the weekend and into next week. High temperatures will be
around 5 degrees above normal by late weekend and next week. A
generally weak flow regime will result in a prolonged period of
lighter winds across northern Arizona.


.AVIATION...For the 12Z package...A band of showers across far
eastern Arizona should move into New Mexico by 13Z. VFR conditions
under clearing skies and breezy northerly winds are expected
today. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions and a warming trend are forecast for
today and Saturday.

Sunday through Tuesday...Dry and unstable conditions may lead to
moderate or high Haines values each day. Daytime temperatures will
be slightly above normal.






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