Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 132226
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
326 PM MST MON OCT 13 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO MID-WEEK AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST. DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON ARE GENERALLY 4-9 DEGREES COOLER THAN THIS
TIME YESTERDAY UNDER COOL NORTHEASTERLY FLOW. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES
WILL REBOUND TO ABOVE DAILY AVERAGES THROUGH MID-WEEK UNDER HIGH
PRESSURE...THOUGH A DISTURBANCE PASSING WELL TO THE NORTH WILL
CAUSE BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS ON WEDNESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS TO AND
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST UNTIL AT LEAST FRIDAY.
BOTH THE GFS & ECMWF INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE
SOMETIME IN THE FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME. HAVE RE-
INTRODUCED GENERALLY 5-15 PERCENT PRECIP CHANCES TO THE FORECAST
FOR THIS PERIOD TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HRS. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ARE
FORECAST...WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 15 KTS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........KD
AVIATION.......MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF








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