Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 071033
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
333 AM MST MON JUL 7 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS ARIZONA FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...WITH SOME STORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
ONLY VERY ISOLATED AND GENERALLY LIGHT SHOWERS ARE CONTINUING
ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS MORNING. STILL...DAYTIME HEATING WILL
KICK OFF ANOTHER ROUND OF ACTIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATER
THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE DAY...AS A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR
MASS REMAINS IN PLACE. EXPECT SIGNIFICANT STORM COVERAGE ACROSS
YAVAPAI...COCONINO...AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTIES...WITH MORE
SCATTERED ACTIVITY IN NAVAJO AND APACHE COUNTIES NORTH OF THE
MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS.

THIS MONSOONAL MOISTURE LOOKS TO REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. EXPECT DAILY CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...WITH DAYTIME TEMPS HOVERING AROUND
SEASONAL LEVELS. MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK LOOKS WET WITH MANY DAYS
OF MODERATE TO HIGH GRADE MONSOON ACTIVITY...AT LEAST IN TERMS OF
OVERALL COVERAGE. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE GENERALLY
LIGHT...THOUGH ERRATIC AND QUITE GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...SCT-BKN SC WITH BASES FROM 9-12KFT AGL WILL
GIVE WAY TO NMRS CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY 17Z-19Z.
PSBL MVFR/IFR VSBY/CIGS IN HEAVIER SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER NORTHERN
ARIZONA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...WITH SOME STORMS PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........KD
AVIATION.......PETERSON
FIRE WEATHER...PETERSON

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF






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