Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 241613
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
910 AM MST TUE MAR 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT LIGHTER WINDS TODAY WITH CONTINUED MILD
TEMPERATURES AND A FEW HIGH CLOUDS AT TIMES. A WEAK TROUGH WILL
BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAINLY FOR THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS REGION WEDNESDAY...WITH FAIR WEATHER ELSEWHERE. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHWEST BY FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND
BRINGING MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT CONTINUED MILD TEMPERATURES...LIGHTER WINDS AND
SOME HIGH CLOUDS AT TIMES TODAY. CURRENT FORECASTS HAVE THE
SITUATION COVERED...NO UPDATES NEEDED THIS MORNING.

.PREV DISCUSSION...(250 AM MST)...ANOTHER WEAK TROUGH WILL DROP
SOUTH THROUGH NORTHERN ARIZONA WEDNESDAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A FEW
SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS MAY ACCOMPANY THE TROUGH...WITH ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY MAINLY OVER THE WHITE MOUNTAINS REGION WHERE ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IS POSSIBLE. A COOLER NORTHEAST FLOW IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP AS THE TROUGH PASSES ON THROUGH...AFTERNOON
TEMPS WILL STILL BE 4-6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THURSDAY.

FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS
FORECAST TO BUILD INTO THE SOUTHWEST U.S. WITH WARMING DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO
BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COULD CUT
THROUGH THE RIDGE LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...ALTHOUGH
MODEL FORECASTS ARE INCONSISTENT AT THIS POINT. WE ARE ANTICIPATING
THAT THE CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION ARE GOING TO BE FAIRLY LOW. WINDY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL MOST LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
UNDER PERIODS OF HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS LESS THAN 10-15 KTS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.....JJ/TC
AVIATION...MCCOLLUM

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




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