Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS65 KFGZ 242221
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
321 PM MST WED SEP 24 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR MOST OF NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH
THURSDAY...WITH ONLY ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
AROUND THE WHITE MOUNTAINS TODAY AND ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM
THURSDAY. FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND...A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE
ACROSS ARIZONA BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHLAND THRU EARLY FRIDAY
WITH WARM DAYTIME TEMPS CONTINUING. A MODEST INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS FORECAST FOR THURSDAY...WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF
SHOWERS ANTICIPATED FROM ALONG THE MOUNTAINS FROM FLAGSTAFF
SOUTHEAST THRU THE WHITE MOUNTAINS.

FROM MID-FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH AND MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
BRINGING SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER TEMPS AND INCREASED CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION. TIMING DIFFERENCES BETWEEN INDIVIDUAL MODEL RUNS
ARE NARROWING...AND SATURDAY CURRENTLY LOOKS THE MOST FAVORABLE
FOR SIGNIFICANT PRECIP...LOCALLY STRONG STORMS...AND GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHLAND. THAT SAID...THE
ENTIRE FRIDAY-SUNDAY PERIOD WILL EXPERIENCE THE POTENTIAL FOR
RAINFALL. AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN AND WINDS DECREASE EARLY NEXT
WEEK...THE FIRST FROST OF THE SEASON WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS ABOVE AROUND 6000 FEET.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT
THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY. ISOLD TO SCT -TSRA/-SHRA WILL DEVELOP OVER
MOGOLLON RIM AND WHITE MOUNTAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON...STORMS MOST
NUMEROUS EAST OF KPAN. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR
AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........KD
AVIATION.......BAK

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF










USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.