Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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887
FXUS64 KMAF 190440
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1040 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...

See 06z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Winds will be
light and variable overnight then strengthen a little out of the
southeast Sunday afternoon.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 301 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Cold front currently about to exit west Texas and head into northern
Mexico. Winds will continue to gradually diminish and should
become light after sunset. Cool surface high pressure will build
into the region overnight and be centered near Midland by sunrise.
The combination of very light winds, mostly clear skies and drier
air underneath the high center should result in freezing temperatures
across southeast New Mexico and portions of west Texas late
tonight and early Sunday morning. Will issue a Freeze Warning for
portions of the central Permian Basin and a Hard Freeze Warning
for much of the southeast New Mexico Plains and portions of the
northern and western Permian Basin.

Beyond tonight the weather looks quiet through much of next week
as a northwest to northerly flow aloft regime takes place between
a west coast upper ridge and eastern trough. A dry cold front is
expected Tuesday with near normal to above normal temperatures
expected for much of next week.

&&

CLIMATE...How many days has it been since the temperature dropped
to 32 degrees at Midland International Air and Space Port? And
where does it rank compared to other years?

Rank     # Of Days     End Date
-----    ---------     --------
  1         287        Thru 11/17/17
  2         277        11/29/2004
  3         265        12/5/1954
  4         261        11/25/1963
  5         260        12/6/1998

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     31  59  37  68 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       27  57  32  71 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         42  60  37  70 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  36  59  39  72 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 31  52  39  64 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          27  55  32  68 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          29  57  31  69 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           31  59  37  68 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         31  59  37  68 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           28  59  34  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Hard Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 8 AM MST Sunday for Central Lea
     County-Eddy County Plains-Southern Lea County.

TX...Hard Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 9 AM CST Sunday for Andrews-
     Dawson-Gaines-Loving-Winkler.

     Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 9 AM CST Sunday for Ector-Glasscock-
     Martin-Midland-Ward.

&&

$$

99/99/



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