Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FXUS64 KMAF 202156
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
456 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2014

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours under upper lvl ridging.
Abundant moisture and low convective temps will result in a
widespread cu field developing by late morning Monday, w/bases 6-9
kft agl.  Otherwise, return flow continues.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 134 PM CDT Sun Jul 20 2014/

DISCUSSION...
Summertime wx pattern will continue with the upper ridge the
controlling feature.  The upper ridge was centered right over the
area this morning and will slowly shift off to the west by midweek
as it strengthens.  850mb temps are expected to climb through the
week pushing temperatures across the region back above 100 degree.

July has been cooler than June with no 100 degrees days recorded so
far this month at MAF.  However that is expected to change with
readings at or above the Century mark returning by Wednesday and
increasing through the end of the week.  Highs along the Rio Grande
valley should exceed 105 most of the week.  Overnight temps will
also be slow to fall off and be generally in the 70s.

Expect to see storms over the mountains again today and Monday...
radar indicates first echos already beginning to pop.  Low level
moisture remains high... had dewpts as high as 70 at MAF this
morning.  12Z MAF sounding had a PW over 1.5 inches which is very
wet for this far west.  Good moisture should continue as a S to
SE surface wind continues through the week with a leeside trough.
Storms that develop should be slow moving and will have potential
for locally heavy rain.  Rain chances begin decreasing on Tuesday
with not much precip expected through the rest of the week.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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