Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 011112
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
512 AM CST Thu Dec 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 12Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions with light southerly/light and variable winds will
prevail through the forecast period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 325 AM CST Thu Dec 1 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Upper low has moved east to the Great Lakes Region while a new one
comes down from the Canadian NW.  Models continue to dig this new
trough cutting it off around the Mexican border early Saturday.
It wanders around Mexico Sunday before opening up and moving over
the region early Monday. Another trough dives across the Rockies
late Tuesday/early Wednesday as active pattern continues. After
this trough skirts NM/TX and moves east will have high pressure
behind it.

Cold and clear this morning with temps at 08z in the 20s north to
the 40s south.  Yesterday Tatum was the coldest in the area at 16
degrees and Rio Grande the warmest at 72 degrees.  It will be warmer
today with highs mainly in the 60s.  On Friday a front looks to move
into the northern CWA before hanging up with the wind blowing out of
the east along it... then will push through rest of area overnight.
Could see wind approach high wind criteria at GDP Saturday morning.
Saturday should warm little off the morning low with highs in the
40s north and 50s south. A chilly night Saturday night and another
day of below normal highs Sunday. Temperatures return to near
normal by Tuesday.

Do have wet weekend ahead with precip starting on Friday mainly over
the east then spreading westward overnight.  Precip should be all
liquid except possibility of mixing with snow in the Guadalupes
Friday night.  Saturday looks like the best chance of rain... some
locations may receive a good rainfall.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     62  43  54  43 /   0   0  40  70
Carlsbad                       63  32  59  39 /   0   0  10  60
Dryden                         67  48  63  53 /   0   0  20  50
Fort Stockton                  66  44  66  46 /   0   0  10  50
Guadalupe Pass                 57  41  56  34 /   0   0  10  50
Hobbs                          60  33  52  37 /   0   0  30  60
Marfa                          63  29  64  38 /   0   0   0  40
Midland Intl Airport           63  42  59  43 /   0   0  30  60
Odessa                         63  42  59  43 /   0   0  30  60
Wink                           64  40  63  45 /   0   0  20  60

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$


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