Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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095
FXUS63 KOAX 040831
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
231 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

NO MAJOR ACTIVE WEATHER TO BE CONCERNED WITH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...JUST SMALL CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW ON FRIDAY  AND SATURDAY NIGHT
FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-80 POPS IN RELATION TO SERIES OF PAC NW
SHORTWAVE TROF CROSSING THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS. SLIGHT POPS SEEMS TO
BE THE BEST FIT GIVEN SPARSE MOISTURE AS WELL WE RELATIVELY WEAK
UPGLIDE.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 AM CST THU FEB 4 2016

GOOD CONSENSUS AMONGST THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS LARGE SCALE FLOW
BECOME STAGNANT WITH SIGNIFICANT AMPLIFICATION WITH A DEEP TROF
OVER THE ERN CONUS AND SHARP RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST.
FORTUNATELY BULK OF THE ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL FILTER IN THE LOWER 48
WELL EAST OF THE CWA. APPEARS THAT TUESDAY WILL BE THE ONLY DAY AT
RISK FOR SEEING WELL BELOW NORMAL MAX TEMPS WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING
TO  REACH THE LOW/MID 20S.


&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1136 PM CST WED FEB 3 2016

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PRODUCE SOME VFR CIGS WITH MID AND HIGH
CLOUDS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING...THEN THE SUNSHINE RETURNS.
THE RAP/NAM HINT AT SOME MVFR CONDITIONS WITH THE WEAK COLD FRONT
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT
SOUTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST...GENERALLY 10KTS OR LESS WITH THESE
FRONTAL PASSAGES.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY



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