Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 301705
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1205 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 129 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

The powerful storm system responsible for the flooding rains will
lift northeast into the Plains today. This will shunt the deep
moisture plume to the east and bring an end to the heavy rain
during the morning. However clouds and scattered showers will
linger through the day within a deep cyclonic flow. Temperatures
will remain on the cooler side while winds increase. Could see
gusts over 30 mph by later this morning into the afternoon.

Flooding will continue on streams and rivers with some rivers
continuing to rise.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 129 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

A bigger improvement in weather conditions will be noted Monday as
the upper low lifts off to the northeast. The dry weather will
persist into Tuesday but the dry spell will not last long.

The next shortwave riding through a northwesterly flow aloft will
arrive Tuesday night and Wednesday. This system will interact with
front stalled just to our south to bring another round of rain and
some thunder. Rainfall amounts of one to two inches may occur
Tuesday night and Wednesday.

A cooler weather pattern will set up for late week as the region
comes under the influence of a northwesterly flow aloft in the
wake of the deepening upper level trough.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1146 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

A powerful storm system is currently situated over the region
with one surface low just north of the area and a second occuled
low near KICT. The surface front has passed KJLN/KSGF and should
move through KBBG within the next hour.

With the frontal passage, ceilings will begin to come under the
influence of the dry slot generally improving to VFR conditions by
mid afternoon. Winds...however...will become gusty as they veer to
a more southwest direction.

This should continue until around 05z when the system moves into
northeast Kansas and the residual wrap around moisture moves over
the area. This will bring ceilings back down into the MVFR range
during the overnight hours. Winds expected to remain in the
10-20kt range with gusts over 20kt. As the system moves into the
Great Lakes region on Monday...ceilings will once again become VFR
but with strong and gusty winds through the end of the forecast
period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for MOZ055>058-
     066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...Flash Flood Watch until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Gaede



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