Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 292312

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
512 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 111 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

Wet, dank weather continues as sfc waves of low pressure and upper
level disturbances continue to bring periods of light rain/drizzle
northeastward. Temperature won`t move much through Monday, but
they will bump up a few degrees by midday/afternoon Mon with warm
air advection ahead of an approaching front.

Will mention drizzle, light rain and, with stratus build down, fog
tonight. Higher elevation terrain will have the best chances for
dense fog.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 111 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

An upper low over the eastern Rockies will shift into the Midwest
(IA/MN border) by Tue 12z/6am. This will push a front through our
area Mon night finally kicking the low clouds/precip off to the

The upper low and deepening sfc low will move away from the region
Tue with modestly gusty sw winds. Colder air wrapping around the
low will keep high temperatures in the 40s with some low 50s along
the MO/AR line Tue afternoon.

Sfc high pressure will move through late in the work week with
dry weather and fairly seasonable temperatures. Temperatures a
few degrees above normal will be possible by Fri/Sat as a south
wind develops with sfc high pressure moving off to the east and
an upper level ridge moving over the area.

There is decent agreement on another upper level low moving into
the central/southern Rockies by Sat. Model trends have been to
slow this system down run-to-run so not looking at any significant
precip (if any at all) Saturday.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday Evening)
Issued at 0510 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2015

IFR and LIFR conditions will prevail through much of the forecast
period as we remain in the southwest flow aloft ahead of the main
shortwave which won`t begin to push through until after 00z Tue.
Low level moisture, upper level energy and light surface wind will
continue until that time, so we`ll continue the low stratus, fog
and drizzle.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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