Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 250203
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
903 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2014

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
THERE REALLY HAS NOT BEEN MUCH VARIABILITY IN THE WEATHER OVER THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS. THE PERSISTENCE FORECAST HAS BEEN WORKING OUT
WELL. AS SUCH... THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND WILL NOT BE
UPDATED THIS EVENING.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 613 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2014/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A RATHER STAGNANT UPPER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...AS THE UPPER RIDGE MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AND POSITION ACROSS
THE REGION. HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WILL AGAIN
REACH THE 95-102F RANGE...WITH THE HOTTEST READINGS ACROSS NE OK.
WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL HEAT ADVISORY...ESPECIALLY ON
TUESDAY AS DEWPOINTS MAY BE A BIT HIGHER THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS.

LONGER RANGE MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH SLOW
MOVEMENT OF THE NEXT UPPER SYSTEM...WITH UPPER WAVE
WEAKENING/SHEARING OUT AS IT SLIPS INTO THE PLAINS BY NEXT WEEKEND.
MAIN CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED WAS TO REMOVE POPS FOR TUESDAY/TUESDAY
NIGHT AND ADD POPS FOR THE WEEKEND BUT WILL STILL LEAVE THEM IN
THE 20/30 PERCENT RANGE. ALSO RAISED TEMPS (BOTH HIGHS AND LOWS)
SOME FOR DAYS 3-7.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06






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