000
FXUS64 KTSA 181723
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1223 PM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
MVFR to VFR conditions expected this afternoon with isolated
to scattered showers and thunderstorms possible at most
TAF sites. Confidence is not high enough to add anything
other than VCTS at this time. Mainly VFR conditions forecast
overnight. However, would not be surprised to see more fog
again Saturday morning.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1034 AM CDT Fri Aug 18 2017/

DISCUSSION...
The patchy dense fog that developed early this morning
across portions of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas
has pretty well dissipated at this time. Therefore, have
removed fog wording from forecast.

The morning convection across western and central Oklahoma
has diminished as well. However, it has left an outflow boundary
that extends from north-central Oklahoma into Creek and Okfuskee
counties. This boundary will continue to shift to the east as
the day wears on. Some of the short-term models have isolated
to scattered showers and thunderstorms developing along the
boundary as it moves to the east. Will adjust pops upward some
to reflect this trend in the short-term models.

Otherwise...the current forecast is on track for Today.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...10