Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 241605
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1105 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
925mb winds continue to weaken late this morning and haven`t seen
a 40+ mph gust in several hours...so will cancel the wind advisory
a couple of hours early.

Intial band of showers/thunderstorms is currently moving across
far eastern OK/northwest AR...with another area of convection
across northern TX poised to move into southeast OK over the next
few hours. This area of showers/thunderstorms is expected to
gradually expand in coverage and strengthen as instability
increases into the afternoon. The best chances of severe weather
still look to be across far easter OK into western AR...primarily
after 2-3 pm. Steepening lapse rates associated with the cold
core upper low could produce a few severe storms (mainly hailers)
this evening across northeast OK.

Updated products out asap.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   78  51  67  47 /  30  50  20   0
FSM   73  55  68  48 /  90  50  20   0
MLC   78  52  69  47 /  50  20  10   0
BVO   79  50  66  41 /  30  50  20   0
FYV   68  53  59  43 /  90  60  50  10
BYV   70  54  61  47 /  90  80  50  10
MKO   73  53  67  46 /  60  40  20   0
MIO   71  50  60  44 /  70  60  50  10
F10   80  51  68  47 /  30  30  10   0
HHW   74  52  71  49 /  80  20   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ054-059-064-
     065.

AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....10



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