Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS63 KBIS 262109
AFDBIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
309 PM CST THU FEB 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 309 PM CST THU FEB 26 2015

CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING THROUGH
EASTERN MONTANA INTO WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
PLACES TROUGH THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE MIDWEST WITH RIDGE
OVER THE PACIFIC BRINGING NORTHERLY FLOW TO OUR AREA. TEMPERATURES
OVER MOST LOCATIONS REMAIN IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...SURFACE HIGH
WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE OFF TO THE SOUTH AND EAST WITH LIGHT WINDS
STARTING TO SWITCH WEST/SOUTHWESTERLY OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES
AGAIN DROP BELOW ZERO...WITH THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES MORE OR
LESS EAST AND NORTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. ENOUGH OF A BREEZE WILL
BE PRESENT WITH THE COLD TEMPERATURES TO BRING WIND CHILL CONCERNS
OVER THE AFOREMENTIONED AREA...SO HAVE GONE WITH ANOTHER WIND CHILL
ADVISORY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

FOR FRIDAY...FRIGID WIND CHILLS REMAIN INTO THE MORNING. LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WINDS BEHIND DEPARTING HIGH WILL BRING SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGHS PUSHING INTO THE TEENS OVER MOST
LOCATIONS...20S OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST. QUIET AND MAINLY
CLEAR WEATHER WILL CONTINUE.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 309 PM CST THU FEB 26 2015

BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS HIGHLIGHT THE
LONG TERM FORECAST.

ON FRIDAY EVENING THE ARCTIC HIGH IS WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE
STATE...WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT KEEPING TEMPERATURES BELOW AVERAGE
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

MODERATE WARMING SUNDAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW MAX TEMPERATURES SUNDAY TO RISE INTO
THE 20-30 DEGREE RANGE...AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TO
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA SUNDAY NIGHT.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY THE MODELS DEEPEN AN EXISTING LONGWAVE TROUGH
OVER THE WEST COAST/ROCKIES...AND ALLOW SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO
DEVELOP OVER NORTH DAKOTA. SOME MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
MONDAY...THEN SHORTWAVE ENERGY EMBEDDED IN THE LONGWAVE TROUGH MOVES
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE STATE TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT. AS OF NOW THE
MODELS SUGGEST ANY PRECIPITATION KEEPING TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST...AND
MORE BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOLLOW AS NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
RETURNS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CST THU FEB 26 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.


&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST FRIDAY
FOR NDZ001>005-009>013-021>023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JJS
LONG TERM...JV
AVIATION...JJS







USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.