Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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266
FXUS63 KGLD 150930
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
230 AM MST Wed Nov 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 130 PM MST Tue Nov 14 2017

Low clouds and fog have been slow to burn off today in eastern six
counties, as a result temperatures have not warmed and dew point
depressions remain low. May see fog redevelop rather early this
evening in those areas and persist until a cold front sweeps
through overnight bringing lower dew points. Breezy northwest
winds will accompany frontal passage through the night,
diminishing around sunrise. Wednesday will be sunny with
temperatures near normal, lower to middle 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 229 AM MST Wed Nov 15 2017

Northwest flow aloft will prevail on Saturday and Sunday in the wake
of Friday`s cold front. High pressure will remain to our southwest
with a deep trough situated to the east. H5 ridging will gradually
flatten as we head into Monday with upper flow becoming more
westerly. H7 shortwaves will develop in the lee of the central
Rockies; however, dry weather will prevail in an environment of
dominant subsidence going into Tuesday.

The variable strength of a H5 ridge, situated off of the southern
California coast, will influence the pattern going into Wednesday.
Currently, guidance is pushing another cold front through the CWA
early Wednesday morning with a slight chance of precipitation during
this period. There will be very little moisture to work with thus
widespread precipitation is not anticipated. Northwest flow aloft
will follow the front, keeping us in a dry and active pattern going
forward.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 900 PM MST Tue Nov 14 2017

KGLD, vfr conditions expected through the period. Gusty northwest
winds expected through about 10z before decreasing to 10kts
through 18z then variable around 19z. Winds become southerly
around 6kts by 22z then very slowly increase through the rest of
the taf period possibly flirting with 12kts at the very end.

KMCK, vfr conditions expected through the period. Gusty northwest
winds expected through 09z before decreasing toward 10kts through
18z then variable through 01z. After 02z a light southeast wind
around 5kts expected.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...99



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