Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 011116
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
516 AM MDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 248 AM MDT WED JUL 1 2015

UPPER FLOW WILL BE NORTHWEST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH WILL
MOVE SOUTH ACROSS KANSAS TODAY. TONIGHT THE TROUGH WILL BE SITUATED
DIAGONALLY FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST KANSAS. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE OUT OF NEBRASKA TONIGHT AND INTO NORTHWETT KANSAS.  SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THURSDAY AND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

TODAY SHOULD BE QUIET WITH THE TROUGH AXIS TO THE SOUTH OF THE FA.
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING OVER THE
EXTREME SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE FA WILL BE NEAR THE BOUNDARY AS ITS
STARTS TO MOVE BACK NORTHEAST. POPS INCREASE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS
A FRONT MOVES SOUTH OUT OF NEBRASKA AND INTO THE FA AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES SOUTHEAST FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES ARE HIGH SO HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY.  POPS START DECREASING THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH AND
THE FRONT MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE FA. FRIDAY SHOULD BE DRY WITH
SUBSIDENCE MOVING INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE EXITING TROUGH.
ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN COLORADO LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE  EVENING. BETTER COVERAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REST OF THE FA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE COMES
THROUGH THE FLOW.

MAX TEMPERATURES TODAY SHOULD REACH THE MID TO UPPER 90S WITH 100
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION IN THE FAR EAST. COOLER READINGS ARE
EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. MIN
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL COOL TO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.  LOWER 60S
ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHTS.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 248 AM MDT WED JUL 1 2015

THE EXTENDED PERIOD HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE WET WITH SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EACH DAY. FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...THE RIDGE
IN THE WESTERN CONUS WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD BRINGING DRIER AND
WARMER CONDITIONS TO THE HIGH PLAINS. HOWEVER...DISTURBANCES PASS
THROUGH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW PRODUCING SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. IN THE MEANTIME...A CLOSED LOW MOVES
ACROSS CANADA AND PUSHES A COLD FRONT INTO KANSAS BY MONDAY. THIS
SYSTEM WILL INCREASE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

THERE WILL BE A REBOUND IN TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND AS WARMER
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS EAST. THE WARMEST DAY IN THE EXTENDED
LOOKS TO BE SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY COOLER TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FOLLOW A SIMILAR TREND AND BE IN THE 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 512 AM MDT WED JUL 1 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT KGLD AND KMCK TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD IMPACT BOTH SITES LATER THIS EVENING AND
ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT AS A FRONT MOVES SOUTH INTO THE REGION. SOME
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS THAT MIGHT PRODUCE HEAVY
RAIN.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JBH
AVIATION...FS


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