Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 220522
AFDGLD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1122 PM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 844 PM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

Have updated the forecast to remove mention of precip thru 12z
Tuesday. Currently no radar issues and not looking for any precip
to push into area overnight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 209 PM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

Today through tomorrow, slight adjustments were made in the short
term forecast period to take into account latest observations and
model guidance. Only activity on radar is very light elevated
precipitation over Greeley and Wichita counties. FROPA appears to
remain in the same general area as the previous model run, so we
will continue to hold onto a slight chance of thunderstorms this
evening, followed by a slight chance of patchy fog late overnight
residing mostly in the northwestern section of our CWA. Pops will
dissipate as a surface high pressure system moves over the central
plains and will persist until around Wednesday, when moisture
begins to build back into the area from the west. Temperatures are
expected to remain with highs in the mid 80s and lows in the
lower 60s.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 153 PM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

During the extended period, the highest chances for precipitation
will be Wednesday through Saturday. Tuesday night is anticipated to
be dry due to a ridge still in place over the region. Come
Wednesday, the ridge will begin to push east and a weak shortwave
will move into the area. This will cause some precipitation
development. Thursday will bring an embedded shortwave trough over
the CWA. Due to this, precipitation is likely. Based on current
guidance, the afternoon will be more rain and then the evening could
see more storm chances. Friday and Saturday will be similar with
upper level northwest flow dominating over the Tri-State region.
This will bring continued precipitation chances each day.

A dominate ridge is in place over the western CONUS on Friday and
will impact the region Sunday and Monday. This will cause a dry
pattern over the CWA. There could potentially be pop up showers but
nothing significant is expected.

Temperatures during the period will primarily stay in the 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1122 PM MDT Mon Aug 21 2017

For KGLD...VFR conditions thru the forecast period. Winds...NNE
around 10kts thru 16z...then ENE around 10kts. By 01z
Wednesday...ESE around 10kts. LLWS 06z-13z 020@45kts.

For KMCK...Mainly VFR conditions thru the forecast period. From
08z-11z MVFR conditions possible as low cloud could drop ceilings
down to BKN020. Winds...N around 10kts thru 14z. Gusts to 20kts
06z-08z. From 14z ENE around 10kts...then ESE 5-10kts from 01z
Wednesday onward. LLWS 06z-14z 010@40kts.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...LOCKHART
LONG TERM...CLT
AVIATION...JN


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