Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KGLD 011746
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1146 AM MDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 248 AM MDT WED JUL 1 2015

UPPER FLOW WILL BE NORTHWEST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A TROUGH WILL
MOVE SOUTH ACROSS KANSAS TODAY. TONIGHT THE TROUGH WILL BE SITUATED
DIAGONALLY FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST KANSAS. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE OUT OF NEBRASKA TONIGHT AND INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS.  SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THURSDAY AND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

TODAY SHOULD BE QUIET WITH THE TROUGH AXIS TO THE SOUTH OF THE FA.
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING OVER THE
EXTREME SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE FA WILL BE NEAR THE BOUNDARY AS ITS
STARTS TO MOVE BACK NORTHEAST. POPS INCREASE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS
A FRONT MOVES SOUTH OUT OF NEBRASKA AND INTO THE FA AS A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES SOUTHEAST FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS. PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES ARE HIGH SO HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY.  POPS START DECREASING THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE TROUGH AND
THE FRONT MOVE FURTHER AWAY FROM THE FA. FRIDAY SHOULD BE DRY WITH
SUBSIDENCE MOVING INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE EXITING TROUGH.
ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN COLORADO LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE  EVENING. BETTER COVERAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE REST OF THE FA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AS A SHORTWAVE COMES
THROUGH THE FLOW.

MAX TEMPERATURES TODAY SHOULD REACH THE MID TO UPPER 90S WITH 100
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION IN THE FAR EAST. COOLER READINGS ARE
EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. MIN
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL COOL TO THE LOWER TO MID 60S.  LOWER 60S
ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHTS.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 248 AM MDT WED JUL 1 2015

THE EXTENDED PERIOD HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE WET WITH SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EACH DAY. FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...THE RIDGE
IN THE WESTERN CONUS WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD BRINGING DRIER AND
WARMER CONDITIONS TO THE HIGH PLAINS. HOWEVER...DISTURBANCES PASS
THROUGH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW PRODUCING SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. IN THE MEANTIME...A CLOSED LOW MOVES
ACROSS CANADA AND PUSHES A COLD FRONT INTO KANSAS BY MONDAY. THIS
SYSTEM WILL INCREASE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

THERE WILL BE A REBOUND IN TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND AS WARMER
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS EAST. THE WARMEST DAY IN THE EXTENDED
LOOKS TO BE SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY COOLER TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT. LOW TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FOLLOW A SIMILAR TREND AND BE IN THE 60S.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1146 AM MDT WED JUL 1 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED FOR MAJORITY OF TAF PERIOD. SURFACE
LOW WILL PROVIDE AMPLE MOIST AIR ADVECTION LATE TONIGHT. THIS MAY
SET THE STAGE FOR EARLY MORNING FOG DEVELOPMENT. THIS IS A SIMILAR
PATTERN TO RECENT FOG EVENTS. WENT WITH A MVFR FOG MENTION FOR
KMCK. KGLD SHOULD BE FOG-FREE AS WEST WINDS BRING IN DRIER AIR.
TWO PERIODS OF SHOWERS/STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE
REGION. THE FIRST SHOULD REMAIN OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO. THE
SECOND ROUND WILL DEVELOP OVER MONTANA AND WYOMING...SLIDING SSE
OVER NEBRASKA THROUGH THE NIGHT. BY TOMORROW MORNING...ANTICIPATE
A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX TO REACH KMCK AND POSSIBLY KGLD AS WELL.
FOR NOW...ONLY CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO PREVAIL THUNDERSTORMS AT KMCK.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...JBH
AVIATION...RRH


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.