Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 222101

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
201 PM MST Wed Nov 22 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 200 PM MST Wed Nov 22 2017

Large upper ridge centered near the Four Corners will result in
warm and dry conditions. A few record highs may be set or tied on
Thanksgiving day, with lower to middle 70s anticipated. High
cirrus clouds will continue to come over the top of the ridge
resulting in partly sunny skies.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 200 PM MST Wed Nov 22 2017

Shortwave trough moving through the northern plains will push a
front southward for Friday. Depending on frontal timing, a few
more record highs may be possible. It will turn windy behind the
front with peak gust potential of 40-50 mph immediately behind it,
then gradually diminishing by Friday evening. No precipitation is
expected. Humidity is well above fire weather criteria. A brief
cool down will occur on Saturday, but still slightly above normal,
then warming back up Sunday and Monday to near record territory
as the ridge rebuilds. Next upper trough/surface cold front will
come through Monday night and Tuesday. May be a period of gusty
north winds with the front. Models are currently dry but track is
further south and synoptic scale lift will be moving right over
the area, but moisture may be lacking. Temperatures will return
to near normal for Tuesday and Wednesday.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1014 AM MST Wed Nov 22 2017

VFR expected at both KGLD and KMCK through the TAF period. Ridging
aloft will result in partly sunny skies and light winds. High
level cirrus will continue to spill across the area from the




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