Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 150840

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
240 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 240 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

The forecast area will be under the influence of northwest flow
aloft through Tuesday with little in the way of cloudiness and
slowly moderating temperatures. For Tuesday night flow shifts a bit
more westerly which may bring a slight increase in high clouds over
the area.

High temperatures today should reach the low to mid 60s with low to
mid 70s Monday. On Tuesday the warming continues with highs in the
mid 70s to around 80. Low temperatures tonight in the low to mid 30s
with mid 30s to low 40s Monday night. For Tuesday night low to
mid 40s.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 240 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

The extended forecast continues to look dry and warm. Temperatures
will be 5-10 degrees above normal through most of the period. Global
models are in good agreement until the weekend. Both the GFS and
ECMWF have a longwave trough approaching the area Friday night into
Saturday. The ECMWF is a little quicker than the GFS with this
feature, but the CWA should see an associated cold front at the
surface push through the area and bring temperatures back down
closer to normal values through Saturday night. Very little moisture
will be available to this system.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 240 AM MDT Sun Oct 15 2017

For KGLD and KMCK, vfr conditions expected through the period.
Winds begin the period from the west under 10kts then shift to the
northwest near 12kts by 17z and continue through the afternoon
before becoming light and variable around 00z. A light southwest
or west-southwest wind is then expected overnight.


KS...Freeze Warning until 8 AM MDT /9 AM CDT/ this morning for KSZ001-

NE...Freeze Warning until 8 AM MDT /9 AM CDT/ this morning for NEZ079-



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