Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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385
FXUS63 KLMK 261841
AFDLMK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
241 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2016

.SHORT TERM (Now through Saturday Night)...
Issued at 205 PM EDT Fri Aug 26 2016

Upper ridging continues to spin over the southeast United States.
satellite and radar loops show a textbook ring of fire pattern with
clouds and storms flowing around the periphery of the ridge. With
the center of the ridging over Virginia and North Carolina, the LMK
CWA sits on the edge of the ridge, just enough into it to squelch
most convection. As a result, this evening should be dry other
than perhaps a stray storm far west. Some of the aforementioned
thunderstorm activity, currently over the middle and lower
Mississippi Valley, may slip into the west/northwest sections of
the region late tonight.

Saturday will be more of the same with hot and humid weather and a
small chance of pop-up storms, especially in the heat of the day,
especially north and west once again. Afternoon heat index readings
will approach 100. We`ll get little relief Saturday night with muggy
conditions and the mercury only dropping into the lower and middle
70s.

.LONG TERM (Sunday through Friday)...
Issued at 212 PM EDT Fri Aug 26 2016

The upper high will remain in place through Monday, then get
suppressed early next week as a large upper trof swings through
southeast Canada. This may help to lower temperatures a couple of
degrees, and will continue the daily chances of scattered primarily
diurnal thunderstorms. No significant surface fronts to hang one`s
hat on, and we`ll have to see what happens with the tropical
disturbance currently over the Bahamas too.

&&

.AVIATION (18Z TAF Update)...
Issued at 1245 PM EDT Fri Aug 26 2016

High pressure aloft will remain in place across the region through
this TAF period. For this afternoon this will bring light winds.
Scattered cu has developed and will persist through the afternoon.
There is an isolated chance for a shower or storm near BWG or SDF,
but the possibility is too low to mention in the TAFs at this time.
For tonight some light fog will be possible once again at LEX and
BWG. The best chance for any light fog will be at BWG, but think
visibility will mainly stay in the MVFR range.

&&

.LMK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term........13
Long Term.........13
Aviation..........EER



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