Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FXUS63 KLMK 160756

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
256 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2017

.Short Term...(Today through Friday)
Issued at 245 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2017

A warm up begins today as a sharp upper level ridge moves into the
region.  Have gone on the warm side of guidance for both today and
Friday. Expect mostly sunny skies both days. Highs today will reach
the upper 40s to mid 50s, and highs on Fri will soar into the low to
mid 60s!  A decent rad cooling night tonight will allow low temps to
bottom out in the mid to upper 30s.  These number are about 10-15
degrees above normal for this time of year.


.Long Term...(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 250 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2017

...Warm Weather on the Way...

Saturday - Sunday...

A quick moving upper low will pass through the Ohio Valley on
Sat/Sat night bringing light rain showers to the area.  With clouds
and some rain expected on Sat, highs should be limited to the mid
50s to around 60.

By Sunday, though, skies will clear and temps will rebound back into
the low to mid 60s as a strong upper ridge begins to build back into
the region.

Monday - Thursday...

Unseasonably warm weather looks on track for much of the coming
week.  Highs in the 60s look likely for most of the work week with
Monday temps likely exceeding 70 degrees in some spots.  This would
be about 20 degrees above normal!  Low temps should hold in the
upper 40s to lower 50s for much of the work week.

The next chance for rain will come Tues as energy from an upper low
traversing the Gulf states pushes northward into the Ohio Valley.
The 0Z Canadian/GFS paint a similar pic with continued on and off
rain showers through Thu due to the southern stream upper low and
also a weak boundary from the north.  The Euro is drier with it`s
QPF field so limited POPs to 50% for this forecast package.


.Aviation...(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1201 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2017

Northwest winds of 6-8 knots continue tonight, though they should
relax a bit more as the night wears on. As high pressure passes by
to the south, winds will shift to southerly by this afternoon and
evening. Cirrus will be the main cloud type through most of the
period. However, there will be a few hours this morning with a mid
deck moving in from the northwest. This looks to mainly move through
SDF and LEX.




Short Term...AMS
Long Term...AMS
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