Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FXUS63 KLMK 220714

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
214 AM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

.Short Term...(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 215 AM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

Breezy conditions were accompanying the cold front passing through
the region early this morning.  With the front just past the area
now, will see NW wind gusts diminish toward sunrise.

While a few clouds may linger this morning, most of the day will be
sunny.  The colder airmass ushered in by the overnight cold front
passage will pull high temps back into the low to mid 40s today.

Sfc high pressure will be in place tonight and for Thanksgiving Day
resulting in dry conditions and mostly clear skies.  Temps should
drop off quite a bit tonight under good rad cooling with lows
ranging through the 20s.  As we enter return flow Thanksgiving Day,
temps should warm some back into the mid 40s to around 50 for highs.


.Long Term...(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 215 AM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

Friday - Saturday...

Friday continues to look sunny and warmer.  High temps will range
through the 50s.  Fri night into Sat morning a cold front will pass
through the region bringing a slight chance for a sprinkle or shower
over southeast IN/northern Bluegrass in KY.  However, the model
consensus remains dry so will keep the forecast dry as well.

Saturday will be partly cloudy especially during the morning hours
closer to the frontal passage.  The cold air behind the front will
lag behind quite a bit so Saturday`s high temps still look to range
through the 50s.

Sunday - Tuesday...

The cold air behind the Sat morning front will finally arrive early
Sun resulting in a chilly start in the upper 20s/lower 30s.  Highs
on Sun will fall back into the 40s.

Continued dry weather looks likely for the start of the work week as
sfc high pressure moves through Mon and then return flow starts
again Tues.  Temps will be on a warming trend through mid week ahead
of a deep low pressure system and strong cold front that could bring
showers/storms to the Ohio Valley by mid week.


.Aviation...(06Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 1220 AM EST Wed Nov 22 2017

A narrow swath of MVFR cigs just behind a cold front has affected
parts of southern IN and northern KY this morning. TAF sites that
could see impacts from it here shortly include SDF and LEX, but
duration of MVFR cigs should only be 1-2 hours. After that passes,
expecting VFR cigs/vis for the rest of the period, though will have
to watch for the potential of MVFR strato-cu developing late this
afternoon across southern IN and northern KY.




Short Term...AMS
Long Term...AMS
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