Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 170349

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
849 PM MST Sun Apr 16 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Expect mostly dry and seasonably warm conditions this
week. Breezy conditons will develop each afternoon. A weak
disturbance will bring a slight chance of showers to far
northwestern Coconino County Tuesday and Tuesday night.


Occasional cirrus cloud cover will continue overnight. The rather
quiet short-term forecast looks in good shape with no major
updates anticipated this evening.


.PREV DISCUSSION /335 PM MST/...West-southwest flow aloft and
slightly above normal hghts will continue through the week.
Occasional s/wvs passing to our north will bring breezy to windy
afternoons to the area. There will be just enough moisture with a
short wave to bring a few showers to far northwestern Coconino
County Tuesday and Tuesday night. Above normal daytime
temperatures are expected through the week.


.AVIATION...For the 06Z Package...Expect VFR conditions over the
next 24 hours under variable high level clouds. Light winds
overnight becoming southwest at 10 to 20 knots Monday afternoon.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Southwest flow aloft will produce warm and dry
conditions with gusty afternoon southwesterly winds Monday and
Tuesday. Haines index around 6 over far eastern Arizona on Monday
lowering to generally 3 on Tuesday with the passage of a weak
weather disturbance.

Wednesday through Friday...The west to southwest flow regime will
remain in place with dry and mild weather continuing. Breezy each






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