Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 261051
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
351 AM MST FRI JUN 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...WARMER THAN NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE NORTHLAND TODAY. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL GREATEST ACROSS EASTERN ARIZONA THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH
INCREASING CHANCES SLOWLY SPREADING NORTHWEST OVER ALL OF NORTHERN
ARIZONA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WARMER THAN NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPS WILL PERSIST TODAY AS STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE. WHILE FLOW ALOFT IS NOT ESPECIALLY
FAVORABLE FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT TODAY AND TOMORROW...ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL LIKELY
DEVELOP...MAINLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF EASTERN ARIZONA.

THE MONSOONAL FLOW SHIFTS TO A MORE FAVORABLE ORIENTATION BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND AN INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN ARIZONA.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM IS POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY EAST OF A PAYSON TO WINDOW ROCK LINE. THE
MAIN STORM THREAT WILL BE ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS IN EXCESS OF 45
KTS.

AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY
OVER THE WHITE AND CHUSKA MOUNTAIN REGIONS WITH OTHERWISE VERY
WARM TEMPERATURES AND AFTERNOON HUMIDITY RANGING FROM 10-20
PERCENT. SATURDAY WILL BEGIN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE NEAR ANY STORMS.

SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INITIALLY FAVOR
EASTERN ARIZONA BUT WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD WEST ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE INCREASED MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO SLIGHTLY
ELEVATED HUMIDITY LEVELS AND LOWER TEMPERATURES.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...KD
AVIATION...MCS
FIRE WEATHER...MCS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF


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