Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 101627
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
927 AM MST WED SEP 10 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A DRYING TREND WILL LEAD TO FAIR WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES
FOR MOST OF NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY AND THURSDAY. BEGINNING
FRIDAY...MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO RETURN...WITH INCREASING CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW AREAS OF FOG DEVELOPED IN NORTHERN ARIZONA THIS MORNING. IT
HAS BEEN BURNING OFF WITH DAYTIME HEATING...BUT A FEW AREAS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH LATE MORNING...NAMELY THE CHINO VALLEY BETWEEN
PRESCOTT AND ASH FORK AND THE CHINLE VALLEY IN THE NORTHEAST
CORNER OF THE STATE. OTHERWISE...MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE OBSERVED
THIS MORNING WITH A MOSTLY DRY DAY IS IN STORE. THE ONLY CHANCE
FOR ISOLATED SHOWER ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE OVER THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION /315 AM MST/...
FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY...DRIER AIR AND SOME MID LEVEL WARMING
WILL CAUSE A SHARP REDUCTION IN THE CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION...WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS REGION TODAY AND THURSDAY.

FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...FLOW AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH
WILL ALLOW MOISTURE TO SLOWLY INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTH AND EAST LEADING TO INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. OF NOTE IS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION CURRENTLY LOCATED
SOUTH OF MICHOACAN MEXICO. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER PREDICTS
THIS DEPRESSION MAY DEVELOP INTO A HURRICANE AND MOVE NEAR THE
MOUTH OF THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA BY SUNDAY. IF THIS FORECAST PANS
OUT...THIS FEATURE COULD AID IN PUSHING MORE MOISTURE NORTHWARD
INTO THE REGION BY EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MCS
AVIATION.......DM

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




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