Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

FXUS65 KFGZ 041616

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
915 AM MST Sun Dec 4 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Expect dry weather with near average temperatures
through Tuesday afternoon. A strong cold front is forecast to bring
much colder temperatures and perhaps some shower activity late
Tuesday into Wednesday.


Skies are clear across northern AZ this morning. This mornings upper
air sounding from Bellemont showed a strong surface based inversion
with the top near 9600 ft msl where the temp was 40 degrees. It
looks like a fine afternoon across the area with light N-NE winds
and warmer temps than yesterday. More on Tuesdays cold frontal
intrusion this afternoon.


.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION 339 AM... Daytime temps will warm a bit more
today. Locally gusty northeast winds, mainly near and just southwest
of higher terrain features like the Mogollon Rim and San Francisco
Peaks, will continue through the morning but weaken during the day.

By Tuesday, low pressure from the Pacific Northwest will push
southward approaching northern Arizona. Much of the moisture looks
to remain just north of the state, but slight chances for precip
may return for Tuesday night and Wednesday. In addition, this
will lead to strong and gusty winds for Tuesday, then cooler temps
by Wednesday. Dry conditions with gradually climbing daytime
temperatures are then expected for the remainder of the week.


.AVIATION...For the 18Z forecast...A dry northerly flow aloft will
produce VFR conditions across northern Arizona for the next 24
hours. Sfc winds N-NE winds of 5-15 kts along and south of the
Mogollon Rim this afternoon otherwise light winds. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.






For Northern Arizona weather information visit is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.