Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 012131
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
230 PM MST WED OCT 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK TROUGH WILL BRUSH THE FOUR CORNERS AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH SOME CLOUD COVER AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT SHOWERS IN NORTHEAST ARIZONA. OTHERWISE...DRY WEATHER THROUGH
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL
WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A TROUGH IS MOVING QUICKLY ACROSS UTAH AND COLORADO
THIS AFTERNOON. CUMULUS CLOUDS HAVE INCREASED FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM
TO THE 4-CORNERS...AND A FEW SHOWERS OR PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM WILL
BE POSSIBLE NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A COOLER AIR AND DRIER AIR MASS TO THE REGION
LATER TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH SOME NORTHEASTERLY BREEZES
DEVELOPING ALONG/SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM. MANY AREAS ARE LIKELY TO
SEE THEIR COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON SO FAR BY THURSDAY
MORNING...WITH SOME FREEZING TEMPERATURES LIKELY OVER THE TYPICALLY
COLDER HIGH-ELEVATION LOCATIONS.

FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHWEST STATES. THE RIDGE SHOULD PEAK OVER THE
WEEKEND THEN SLOWLY BREAK DOWN TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
EXPECT WARMER AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES...AT OR ABOVE SEASONAL
VALUES...AND DRIER HUMIDITY LEVELS THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...EXPECT SCT-BKN SC/CU WITH BASES
FROM 12-14 KFT MSL THROUGH AROUND 04Z. ISOLD -SHRA FROM AROUND KGCN
TO THE FOUR CORNERS THROUGH 03Z. NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL PICK UP
OVERNIGHT BECOMING 10G20KTS ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
MOGOLLON RIM. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.....JJ
AVIATION...MAS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




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