Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 211051
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
350 AM MST TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...SLIGHT CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS WILL LINGER THROUGH
TODAY...MAINLY OVER EASTERN ARIZONA. DRIER AIR ARRIVES TONIGHT WITH
A WARMING TREND DEVELOPING FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN WILL
PUSH A DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA BY THIS EVENING. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...LINGERING MOISTURE MAY STILL BE DEEP ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A FEW
SHOWERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY EAST OF FLAGSTAFF. DRIER
AIR WILL TRAIL THE FRONT TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND THE CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS WILL FINALLY END. RISING HGHTS WILL PRODUCE A WARMING TREND
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT
WEEKEND. MODELS ARE HINTING AT A FAIRLY STRONG FRONT BY SUNDAY OR
MONDAY...BUT DETAILS ARE SKETCHY. FOR NOW...WE HAVE INDICATED A
COOLING TREND AND AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS RETURNING TO
THE AREA BY SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...VFR FOR MOST OF THE AREA FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. RESIDUAL MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALLOW WIDELY SCT
-SHRA/-TSRA BTWN 18Z TUE-02Z WEDS EAST OF A KGCN-KPAN LINE WITH
CLOUD BASES AOA 11KFT MSL AND LCL CIGS AT 3KFT AGL ALONG THE
MOGOLLON RIM. CLEARING SKIES AFT 03Z WEDS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........PETERSON
AVIATION.......DL

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




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