Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 231114
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
415 AM MST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ARIZONA TODAY BRINGING
GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS WILL
LINGER NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS THROUGH THE MORNING...WITH CLEARING BY
AFTERNOON. AFTER COOL CONDITIONS PERSIST MONDAY AND TUESDAY...AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL DEVELOP FOR THE
REST OF THE COMING WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR THE GRAND CANYON TO
WINDOW ROCK EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH
THE AREA TODAY...WITH COLDER AIR AND NORTHEAST WINDS DEVELOPING
BEHIND IT. SOME SHALLOW STATUS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING A FEW
SNOW SHOWERS TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST ARIZONA THROUGH THE
MORNING...BUT THIS SHOULD DISSIPATE QUICKLY IN THE AFTERNOON AS
UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT MOVES EAST.

ARIZONA WILL REMAIN ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF A HIGH AMPLITUDE EASTERN
PACIFIC RIDGE THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH COOL NORTHEAST FLOW CONTINUING.
AREAS SOUTHWEST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WILL NOT BE AFFECTED AS MUCH AS
THEY WILL BE IN A DOWNSLOPE REGIME. THE RIDGE MOVES EAST BY MID-WEEK
AND WILL BRING SEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS TO THE AREA INTO
NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE
NEAR FOUR CORNERS THROUGH ABOUT 18Z. OTHERWISE...SKIES GENERALLY
FEW-BKN080-100. EXPECT BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS TODAY...10-20G25-30KTS
BY THE AFTERNOON. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........PETERSON
AVIATION.......KD

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF



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